Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

$5.3M Vol
Aug 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Iga Swiatek 100.0%
Elena Rybakina 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,050%, while Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $5.3M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.3M in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina9995.0%$5.3M9995¢-9895¢
2Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner5050.0%$7.0K5050¢-4950¢
3Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.55000.0%$6.1K5000¢-4900¢
4Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$4.4K5000¢-4900¢
5Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$9.3K5000¢-4900¢
8Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
9Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%$5455000¢-4900¢
11Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.55000.0%$1515000¢-4900¢
12Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner4800.0%$2.8K4800¢-4700¢
15Completed Match30.0%30¢70¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Iga Swiatek.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:24 PM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Swiatek for Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:24 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $1.85

    Bought 5 Swiatek for Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:24 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702701 Swiatek for Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 09:21 PM
    $350.00

    Bought 853.658535 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

  • 09:20 PM
    ASASMDIAIDSA
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518517 Over for Swiatek vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.54

  • 09:18 PM
    HUhunter1010
    $16.13

    Bought 39.35 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

  • 09:18 PM
    HUHunter33
    $43.00

    Bought 104.88 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

  • 09:18 PM
    DVdv-pm
    $5,375.51

    Bought 13111 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

  • 09:16 PM
    0X0x976EC5E37e6541cA7DcFeE7Ff31AA7f685f48453-1771809853654
    $97.52

    Bought 162.533332 Iga Swiatek for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.6

  • 09:16 PM
    AVAV23IUa
    $31,558.24

    Bought 53488.54 Iga Swiatek for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.59

  • 09:16 PM
    0X0xBe95Bb57F2FDa2663D4d2D5fC8B79be65d9A1A93-1783087620575
    $738.00

    Bought 1800 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

  • 09:16 PM
    ULUlamTriX
    $12.30

    Bought 30 Elena Rybakina for Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

2C1
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$2,502.23
Volume
$1,372,878.20
Positions
Iga Swiatek
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$65,680.45
Volume
$261,461.49
Positions
Elena RybakinaSwiatek
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$51,855.03
Volume
$220,978.83
Positions
Elena RybakinaUnder
SW4
swisstony
Event PnL
-$48,046.92
Volume
$214,097.87
Positions
Elena Rybakina
AN5
Anjun
Event PnL
+$63.69
Volume
$127,376.62
Positions
Iga Swiatek
AV6
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$34,808.89
Volume
$84,999.89
Positions
Iga Swiatek
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$82.33
Volume
$84,941.17
Positions
Elena Rybakina
KA8
kamloic
Event PnL
+$31,769.71
Volume
$80,422.90
Positions
Iga Swiatek

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina"?

As of the latest update, Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner at 5,050% and Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $5.3M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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