Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Qatar is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Saudi Arabia follows in second place at 5,000%, while UAE sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Qatar (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Qatar is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Saudi Arabia (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Saudi Arabia maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
• UAE (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward UAE, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.