National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka

$454.3K Vol
Aug 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Naomi Osaka 100.0%
Elise Mertens 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,955% chance of winning. National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $454.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,955%): Currently commanding the highest probability, National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,955¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $37.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.59955.0%$37.5K9955¢-9855¢
2National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.55.0%$1.7K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Naomi Osaka in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Naomi Osaka.

This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Elise Mertens.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 7, 2026

  • 08:39 PM
    BIbiancoverde
    $2.00

    Bought 4.166665 Osaka for Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:39 PM
    BIbiancoverde
    $523.92

    Bought 1091.5 Osaka for Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:31 PM
    HAHaramhustle
    $97.28

    Bought 270.222221 Over 2.5 for Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.36

  • 08:30 PM
    0X0x63f69f34DfA36E5F39232C1541B1508E2Ee8BDbD-1775487487713
    $2.88

    Bought 4 Over for Mertens vs. Osaka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.72

  • 08:28 PM
    KAKangtanew
    $1,500.00

    Bought 2142.85714 Naomi Osaka for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.7

  • 08:25 PM
    0X0xDb061Eab5e611ffb5bBD54F7c006038aF3eE4aBA-1767823483790
    $142.79

    Bought 203.985713 Naomi Osaka for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.7

  • 08:23 PM
    DIDIKJE
    $558.74

    Bought 1164.044896 Osaka for Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 08:22 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $187.15

    Bought 267.35714 Naomi Osaka for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.7

  • 08:21 PM
    ZEzero88888888
    $36.91

    Bought 119.05 Elise Mertens for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.31

  • 08:19 PM
    NAnabzter
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 Over 2.5 for Elise Mertens vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.36

  • 08:16 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225805 Elise Mertens for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.31

  • 08:16 PM
    AGAGUGava
    $7,000.00

    Bought 10000 Naomi Osaka for National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AN1
angelat0
Event PnL
-$204.11
Volume
$41,569.76
Positions
Naomi Osaka
0B2
0b1
Event PnL
+$3,137.12
Volume
$35,000.00
Positions
Naomi Osaka
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,750.46
Volume
$20,616.43
Positions
Elise Mertens
UN4
unknownloser1
Event PnL
-$1,723.93
Volume
$14,671.72
Positions
Elise Mertens
DV5
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$205.18
Volume
$13,679.00
Positions
Naomi Osaka
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$2,102.58
Volume
$13,099.58
Positions
Naomi OsakaUnder
MA7
MartyFinklestein
Event PnL
-$525.83
Volume
$11,374.74
Positions
Elise Mertens
BI8
BirdMan.
Event PnL
+$9.61
Volume
$10,959.18
Positions
Naomi Osaka

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka"?

As of the latest update, National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,955% win probability, followed by National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Match O/U 21.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $454.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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