
What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will Hims say during their next earnings call?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Quarter 20+ times is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,450% chance of winning. Platform 10+ times follows in second place at 9,450%, while GLP-1 sits in third with 9,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $153, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Quarter 20+ times (9,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Quarter 20+ times is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Platform 10+ times (9,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Platform 10+ times maintains a 9,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,450¢.
- GLP-1 (9,450%): Sitting in third place with a 9,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward GLP-1, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Testosterone (9,400%), Longevity (5,850%), and Europe (5,800%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Peptide 5+ times are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quarter 20+ times | 9450.0% | — | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 2 | Platform 10+ times | 9450.0% | — | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 3 | GLP-1 | 9450.0% | — | 9450¢ | -9350¢ |
| 4 | Testosterone | 9400.0% | — | 9400¢ | -9300¢ |
| 5 | Longevity | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 6 | Europe | 5800.0% | $30 | 5800¢ | -5700¢ |
| 7 | Peptide 5+ times | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 8 | Eucalyptus | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 9 | Subscriber 15+ times | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 10 | Wearable | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 11 | Amazon | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | Regulation | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 13 | -No Qualifying Event- | 4300.0% | $63 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 14 | Fiscal 10+ times | 400.0% | $60 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
Result Rules
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Hims currently scheduled to take place on August 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "What will Hims say during their next earnings call?"?
As of the latest update, Quarter 20+ times leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,450% win probability, followed by Platform 10+ times at 9,450% and GLP-1 at 9,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $153, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
