
WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Marta Kostyuk is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Amanda Anisimova follows in second place at 4,950%, while Janice Tjen sits in third with 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $840, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Marta Kostyuk (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Marta Kostyuk is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Amanda Anisimova (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Amanda Anisimova maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.
- Janice Tjen (4,950%): Sitting in third place with a 4,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Janice Tjen, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Taylor Townsend (4,950%), Moyuka Uchijima (4,950%), and Panna Udvardy (4,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Xinyu Wang are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marta Kostyuk | 5050.0% | $10 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Amanda Anisimova | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 3 | Janice Tjen | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 4 | Taylor Townsend | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 5 | Moyuka Uchijima | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 6 | Panna Udvardy | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 7 | Xinyu Wang | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | Renata Zarazua | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 9 | Shuai Zhang | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 10 | Carol Zhao | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 11 | Diana Shnaider | 4900.0% | $10 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 12 | Elina Svitolina | 2700.0% | $10 | 2700¢ | -2600¢ |
| 13 | Linda Noskova | 2600.0% | $10 | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 14 | Jessica Pegula | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 15 | Coco Gauff | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 16 | Mirra Andreeva | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 17 | Iga Swiatek | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 18 | Naomi Osaka | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 19 | Belinda Bencic | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 20 | Iva Jovic | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 21 | Anna Kalinskaya | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 22 | Madison Keys | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Barbora Krejcikova | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 24 | Alexandra Eala | 2550.0% | $10 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 25 | Sorana Cirstea | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 26 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 27 | Maja Chwalinska | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 28 | Elise Mertens | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 29 | Marie Bouzkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 30 | Emma Navarro | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 31 | Anastasia Potapova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 32 | Jelena Ostapenko | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 33 | Clara Tauson | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 34 | Ann Li | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 35 | Maria Sakkari | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 36 | Leylah Fernandez | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 37 | Donna Vekic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 38 | Katerina Siniakova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 39 | Bianca Andreescu | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 40 | Nikola Bartunkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 41 | Sara Bejlek | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 42 | Anna Blinkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 43 | Lois Boisson | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 44 | Anna Bondar | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 45 | Katie Boulter | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 46 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 47 | Cadence Brace | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 48 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 49 | Kayla Cross | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 50 | Kayla Day | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 51 | Magdalena Frech | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 52 | Talia Gibson | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 53 | Viktorija Golubic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 54 | Leolia Jeanjean | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 55 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 56 | Maya Joint | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 57 | Emerson Jones | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 58 | Anhelina Kalinina | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 59 | Daria Kasatkina | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 60 | McCartney Kessler | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 61 | Alina Korneeva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 62 | Tamara Korpatsch | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 63 | Magda Linette | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 64 | Eva Lys | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 65 | Tatjana Maria | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 66 | Rebecca Marino | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 67 | Caty McNally | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 68 | Camila Osorio | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 69 | Alycia Parks | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 70 | Diane Parry | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 71 | Karolina Pliskova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 72 | Yulia Putintseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 73 | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 74 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 75 | Antonia Ruzic | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 76 | Liudmila Samsonova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 77 | Katherine Sebov | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 78 | Solana Sierra | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 79 | Zeynep Sonmez | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 80 | Rebecca Sramkova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 81 | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 82 | Peyton Stearns | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 83 | Sloane Stephens | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 84 | Lanlana Tararudee | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 85 | Tereza Valentova | 2500.0% | $10 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 86 | Aryna Sabalenka | 2100.0% | $10 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 87 | Elena Rybakina | 1400.0% | $10 | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 88 | Polina Kudermetova | 155.0% | $10 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 89 | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 155.0% | $10 | 155¢ | -55¢ |
Result Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the National Bank Open presented by Rogers (WTA 1000 Toronto 2026), currently scheduled for August 1 – August 13, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the WTA (wtatennis.com) or National Bank Open (nationalbankopen.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "WTA 1000 Toronto: Winner"?
As of the latest update, Marta Kostyuk leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Amanda Anisimova at 4,950% and Janice Tjen at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $840, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
