What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)

$729 Vol
Aug 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
AI 50+ times 92.5%
IPO 91.5%
Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times 90.5%
Software 90.0%
Anthropic 5+ times 83.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, IPO is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times follows in second place at 9,050%, while Software sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $729, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • IPO (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, IPO is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $113 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Software (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Software, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Anthropic 5+ times (8,250%), SpaceX 3+ times (7,900%), and AI 50+ times (7,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Nvidia are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1IPO9150.0%$1139150¢-9050¢
2Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times9050.0%$319050¢-8950¢
3Software9000.0%$329000¢-8900¢
4Anthropic 5+ times8250.0%$1808250¢-8150¢
5SpaceX 3+ times7900.0%$327900¢-7800¢
6AI 50+ times7750.0%$1427750¢-7650¢
7Nvidia6750.0%$406750¢-6650¢
8Blue6750.0%$316750¢-6650¢
9Red5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
10Stock Market3250.0%3250¢-3150¢
11-No Qualifying Event-70.0%$12870¢30¢

Result Rules

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.

If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7)"?

As of the latest update, IPO leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times at 9,050% and Software at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $729, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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