Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

$123.2K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
KRÜ Esports 67.5%
Fluxo W7M 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) sits in third with 9,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $123.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $45.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) (9,000%): Sitting in third place with a 9,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,000%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,000%), and Match Winner (7,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$45.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)9995.0%$6119995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)9000.0%$289000¢-8900¢
4Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59000.0%$409000¢-8900¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59000.0%$959000¢-8900¢
6Match Winner7350.0%$53.1K7350¢-7250¢
7Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.56550.0%6550¢-6450¢
8Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.56300.0%$1.7K6300¢-6200¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.56250.0%$336250¢-6150¢
10O/U 2.5 Games6100.0%$756100¢-6000¢
11Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55650.0%$1.5K5650¢-5550¢
12Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-5.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+5.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
23Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)4400.0%$214400¢-4300¢
24Map 2 Winner3950.0%$59.9K3950¢-3850¢
25Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)3550.0%$1.2K3550¢-3450¢
26Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
27Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)1700.0%$5621700¢-1600¢
28Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%$1101000¢-900¢
29Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51000.0%1000¢-900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between KRÜ Esports and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against Fluxo W7M.

This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against KRÜ Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:25 PM
    SUsuvorovv
    $2.10

    Bought 4.883719 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 0.43

  • 09:25 PM
    D3d3c0y19
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 0.43

  • 09:25 PM
    JWjwocky
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Under for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 at 0.61

  • 08:52 PM
    545435151
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 KRÜ Esports for Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5) at 0.4

  • 08:49 PM
    ODodifipa
    $1,142.31

    Bought 3461.54 Fluxo W7M for Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In at 0.33

  • 08:41 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $100.00

    Bought 188.679244 KRÜ Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.53

  • 08:41 PM
    0X0xF9088bBB59B17Bae4F5F930E9E0526539E220aaF-1779146385820
    $100.00

    Bought 188.679244 KRÜ Esports for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.53

  • 08:40 PM
    0X0x1E4ADc42557244f53ecf431e4b38B1C20d1C59d9-1781723557315
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 KRÜ Esports for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.53

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x1E4ADc42557244f53ecf431e4b38B1C20d1C59d9-1781723557315
    $20.00

    Bought 37.735848 KRÜ Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.53

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x1E4ADc42557244f53ecf431e4b38B1C20d1C59d9-1781723557315
    $19.82

    Bought 38.867923 KRÜ Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.51

  • 08:39 PM
    BRbrokerpe
    $24.91

    Bought 48.849806 KRÜ Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.51

  • 08:38 PM
    BRbrokerpe
    $25.00

    Bought 51.020407 KRÜ Esports for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GR1
GreenBerry1337
Event PnL
-$1,600.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Fluxo W7M
HE2
0xheavy888
Event PnL
+$1,084.47
Volume
$8,524.53
Positions
KRÜ EsportsKRÜ Esports
CA3
CAcap
Event PnL
-$960.69
Volume
$8,083.10
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7MFluxo W7M
WI4
Wiretransferxyz
Event PnL
+$7.21
Volume
$7,733.92
Positions
KRÜ Esports
ZO5
ZoeGarma
Event PnL
-$481.13
Volume
$5,064.57
Positions
Fluxo W7M
OD6
odifipa
Event PnL
-$424.97
Volume
$4,999.96
Positions
Fluxo W7M
XY7
xytest
Event PnL
+$562.30
Volume
$4,266.15
Positions
KRÜ EsportsKRÜ Esports
GR8
gregbeast
Event PnL
-$62.98
Volume
$4,000.36
Positions
Fluxo W7M

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In"?

As of the latest update, Map 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5) at 9,995% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5) at 9,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $123.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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