
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $498.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $31 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 (9,995%), Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 (9,995%), and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 (9,995%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 9995.0% | $31 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 9995.0% | $65 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 9995.0% | $20 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 9995.0% | $211 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 6 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 9995.0% | $17 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 7 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 8 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 9995.0% | $20 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 9 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 10 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 11 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 12 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 13 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 14 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 15 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 9995.0% | $50 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 16 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 9975.0% | $50 | 9975¢ | -9875¢ |
| 17 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9955.0% | $1.5K | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 18 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 9755.0% | $65 | 9755¢ | -9655¢ |
| 19 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 9005.0% | $50 | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 20 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 9005.0% | $70 | 9005¢ | -8905¢ |
| 21 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 9000.0% | $45 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 22 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 23 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5) | 1000.0% | $45 | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 24 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 995.0% | $50 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 25 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 995.0% | $50 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 26 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 995.0% | $25 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 27 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 995.0% | $25 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 28 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 995.0% | $25 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 29 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 995.0% | $25 | 995¢ | -895¢ |
| 30 | Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) | 35.0% | $20 | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 31 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $310.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 32 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 5.0% | $4.2K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 33 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 34 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 35 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) | 5.0% | $211 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 36 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 37 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 38 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 39 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 29 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win the match against Team Vitality.
This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Gentle Mates.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Jul 29, 2026
- 08:21 PMCHchaosj89$25.00
Bought 25 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 1
- 08:20 PM——$4.99
Bought 4.994 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 1
- 08:20 PM——$4.99
Bought 4.994 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 1
- 08:20 PMLAlasouris$4.99
Bought 4.994 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 1
- 08:19 PMVPVps1$10.00
Bought 10 Over for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 1
- 08:06 PM——$1.92
Sold 4.8 Gentle Mates for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.4
- 08:06 PMESEsports2026$214.28
Bought 357.14 Team Vitality for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.6
- 08:05 PM0X0x1fC46eb3939bB1f77698D326609586E4DAA17AE7-1771437801102$90.00
Bought 150 Team Vitality for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.6
- 08:05 PM0X0x6E9BaaD1e2ea668C63c380B67341f3385492888f-1760734751404$10.00
Bought 16.666665 Team Vitality for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.6
- 08:05 PMHAHaleo$1.00
Bought 2.439023 Gentle Mates for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.41
- 08:05 PM0X0xb3736eCC788Dd8859510378610eF146Aa672D97C-1774580778092$31.00
Bought 51.666665 Team Vitality for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.6
- 08:05 PMBIBillBenter2026$4.51
Bought 11 Gentle Mates for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha at 0.41
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha"?
As of the latest update, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 at 9,995% and Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $498.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
