Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

$381.5K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 94.5%
Minnesota Twins 6.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,155% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 8,950%, while Spread -2.5 sits in third with 6,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $381.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins (9,155%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,155¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $265.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (8,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 8,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,950¢.
  • Spread -2.5 (6,000%): Sitting in third place with a 6,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 11.5 (6,000%), Extra Innings (5,000%), and O/U 12.5 (2,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 13.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins9155.0%$265.8K9155¢-9055¢
2Spread -1.58950.0%$5.2K8950¢-8850¢
3Spread -2.56000.0%$11.7K6000¢-5900¢
4O/U 11.56000.0%$7.5K6000¢-5900¢
5Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6O/U 12.52450.0%$1.6K2450¢-2350¢
7O/U 13.5950.0%$14.7K950¢-850¢
8O/U 14.5950.0%$525950¢-850¢
9O/U 15.5550.0%$6.0K550¢-450¢
10O/U 16.5545.0%545¢-445¢
11Spread -3.5300.0%$1.5K300¢-200¢
12Spread -1.5155.0%$5.2K155¢-55¢
13Spread -2.5150.0%$11.7K150¢-50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 28 at 8:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:49 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.45

    Bought 27 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.35

  • 09:00 PM
    0X0x33c9101c64b9ba0fFCC200408afA2e91891f5124-1768236962087
    $29.95

    Bought 69.659089 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 at 0.43

  • 08:41 PM
    MWmwsking
    $21.00

    Bought 45.652172 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.46

  • 08:02 PM
    NENewsGurus
    $23.19

    Bought 50.41 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.46

  • 08:02 PM
    COColosus
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:59 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Minnesota Twins for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.55

  • 07:50 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.44

    Bought 2.05714 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 07:35 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $28.00

    Bought 40.579709 Chicago White Sox for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 07:23 PM
    TOtodamooon
    $10.00

    Bought 21.739129 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.46

  • 07:22 PM
    MAmadmaxbet
    $152.50

    Bought 227.6194 Minnesota Twins for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.67

  • 06:55 PM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $3.94

    Bought 8.565216 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.46

  • 06:42 PM
    FAfangcunshan
    $2.75

    Bought 5 Minnesota Twins for Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$23,291.29
Volume
$120,700.21
Positions
Chicago White SoxUnderChicago White Sox+5
3D2
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$12,738.81
Volume
$99,640.47
Positions
Minnesota Twins
4F3
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$6,253.12
Volume
$34,847.76
Positions
Chicago White SoxMinnesota TwinsChicago White Sox+1
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,850.07
Volume
$25,813.46
Positions
OverChicago White SoxUnder+7
JE5
Jeffplatter
Event PnL
-$5,653.36
Volume
$21,292.83
Positions
Minnesota Twins
RN6
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,905.64
Volume
$10,767.41
Positions
Chicago White SoxMinnesota TwinsChicago White Sox+2
CU7
curie
Event PnL
-$2,528.50
Volume
$9,869.61
Positions
Minnesota TwinsUnderMinnesota Twins+1
228
0x228B…4872
Event PnL
-$840.02
Volume
$8,538.17
Positions
Chicago White SoxChicago White SoxMinnesota Twins+6

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins"?

As of the latest update, Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,155% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 8,950% and Spread -2.5 at 6,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $381.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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