Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox

$347.7K Vol
Aug 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago White Sox 98.0%
Cincinnati Reds 2.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Spread -2.5 follows in second place at 6,650%, while O/U 3.5 sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $347.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -1.5 (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -2.5 (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -2.5 maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • O/U 3.5 (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Extra Innings (5,000%), O/U 7.5 (5,000%), and O/U 4.5 (3,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 5.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -1.57950.0%$1.3K7950¢-7850¢
2Spread -2.56650.0%$616650¢-6550¢
3O/U 3.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
4Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5O/U 7.55000.0%$6.9K5000¢-4900¢
6O/U 4.53550.0%$2.3K3550¢-3450¢
7O/U 5.52400.0%$3.6K2400¢-2300¢
8Spread -3.51900.0%1900¢-1800¢
9O/U 6.51750.0%$1021750¢-1650¢
10Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox555.0%$231.3K555¢-455¢
11O/U 9.5450.0%$5.8K450¢-350¢
12Spread -1.5440.0%$1.3K440¢-340¢
13O/U 8.5400.0%$71.1K400¢-300¢
14O/U 10.5355.0%$2.3K355¢-255¢
15Spread -2.5300.0%$61300¢-200¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 12 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 12, 2026

  • 08:18 PM
    MYmy.username
    $4.14

    Bought 6.9 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.6

  • 08:03 PM
    0X0x33c9101c64b9ba0fFCC200408afA2e91891f5124-1768236962087
    $40.00

    Bought 83.333332 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 08:00 PM
    PHphatsddds125
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.6

  • 08:00 PM
    PHphatsddds125
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.66

  • 07:58 PM
    MRMr.FranklinSaint
    $30.00

    Bought 50 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.6

  • 07:55 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833332 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 07:55 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $10.00

    Bought 16.949151 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 at 0.59

  • 07:55 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $10.00

    Bought 15.151514 Under for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 at 0.66

  • 07:55 PM
    SUsunbamboo
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Chicago White Sox for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.59

  • 07:50 PM
    5757908275075967523745908267867854
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Over for Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 07:44 PM
    FLFlipadelphia
    $9.20

    Bought 23 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.4

  • 07:40 PM
    CUCUPFan
    $4.76

    Bought 7.81 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$35.59
Volume
$11,001.19
Positions
UnderCincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds+3
SI2
sietechips
Event PnL
+$10.73
Volume
$4,782.35
Positions
Over
CO3
comon119
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$19.38
Volume
$3,876.46
Positions
Under
MO5
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$5.43
Volume
$3,757.05
Positions
Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox
A66
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$4.12
Volume
$2,906.20
Positions
Cincinnati RedsOverUnder+4
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$1.16
Volume
$2,775.48
Positions
OverCincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
-$4.53
Volume
$2,294.66
Positions
OverCincinnati Reds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox"?

As of the latest update, Spread -1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Spread -2.5 at 6,650% and O/U 3.5 at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $347.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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