Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees - Player Props

Aug 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 88.0%
Over 12.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees - Player Props”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,000%), Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (4,950%), and Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
7Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 0.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
8Julio Rodríguez: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
9Luis García Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Luis García Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 5.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
12Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 6.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
13Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 0.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
14Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 0.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
15Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 0.51150.0%1150¢-1050¢
16Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 0.5950.0%950¢-850¢
17Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 0.5900.0%900¢-800¢
18Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 0.5750.0%750¢-650¢
19Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 0.5650.0%650¢-550¢
20Trent Grisham: Home Runs O/U 1.5185.0%185¢-85¢
21Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 1.5170.0%170¢-70¢
22Cal Raleigh: Home Runs O/U 1.5170.0%170¢-70¢
23Heliot Ramos: Home Runs O/U 1.5115.0%115¢-15¢
24Dominic Canzone: Home Runs O/U 1.595.0%95¢
25Randy Arozarena: Home Runs O/U 1.580.0%80¢20¢
26Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.570.0%70¢30¢

Result Rules

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 13 at 1:35 PM ET.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees - Player Props"?

As of the latest update, Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Logan Gilbert: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 at 5,000% and Max Fried: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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