LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

$67.8K Vol
Aug 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
SU Esports 88.0%
Shark Attack 12.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,100%, while Any Player Quadra Kill sits in third with 5,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $67.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,100¢.
  • Any Player Quadra Kill (5,100%): Sitting in third place with a 5,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Quadra Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)6350.0%$5.2K6350¢-6250¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
3Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
18Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
20O/U 2.5 Games3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
21Game 1 Winner2250.0%$6.2K2250¢-2150¢
22Game 2 Winner2000.0%$21.7K2000¢-1900¢
23Match Winner1200.0%$34.6K1200¢-1100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Shark Attack and SU Esports in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 10:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shark Attack" if Shark Attack win the match against SU Esports.

This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against Shark Attack.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 11, 2026

  • 08:44 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $9.72

    Bought 14.95 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:42 AM
    CUcute2212
    $8.00

    Bought 66.666665 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:41 AM
    CUcute2212
    $7.00

    Bought 58.333332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:40 AM
    CUcute2212
    $7.00

    Bought 58.333332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:37 AM
    OCocsssa
    $195.00

    Bought 300 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:36 AM
    WOwoshiliangzai
    $15.22

    Bought 126.833332 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.12

  • 08:36 AM
    SEses06war
    $24.20

    Sold 27.5 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

  • 08:05 AM
    COcooljit
    $78.20

    Bought 88.86 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

  • 07:47 AM
    0000e94b9b3fabd95338b8b23c36caae1d640e1339f
    $3.75

    Bought 18.75 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.2

  • 07:44 AM
    0X0xFBE8B1FCcF402e4C7A739f5989aAee17eC6fBb28-1778926848436
    $102.00

    Bought 443.478259 Shark Attack for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.23

  • 07:40 AM
    DUduffycuck
    $14.18

    Bought 17.72 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.8

  • 07:40 AM
    CKckteam04
    $15.00

    Bought 17.04545 SU Esports for LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins at 0.88

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BL1
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$486.01
Volume
$32,125.29
Positions
SU EsportsSU EsportsSU Esports+1
302
0x30bf…5865
Event PnL
-$221.89
Volume
$12,073.66
Positions
SU Esports
9F3
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$263.81
Volume
$11,885.96
Positions
Shark Attack
AL4
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$384.69
Volume
$10,415.30
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$238.78
Volume
$5,100.07
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
LU6
lug
Event PnL
+$98.67
Volume
$3,947.00
Positions
SU Esports
FB7
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
-$11.53
Volume
$3,604.42
Positions
Shark AttackShark AttackShark Attack
CZ8
czc663
Event PnL
-$12.42
Volume
$3,211.34
Positions
Shark Attack

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,100% and Any Player Quadra Kill at 5,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $67.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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