
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,250%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $64.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $15.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Game 1 Winner (7,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 7,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,250¢.
- Game 2 Winner (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,250%), Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) (5,550%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,250%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 7950.0% | $15.3K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 7250.0% | $6.7K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 7250.0% | $9.9K | 7250¢ | -7150¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 5 | Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) | 5550.0% | $32.8K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 4650.0% | — | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 23 | O/U 2.5 Games | 3950.0% | — | 3950¢ | -3850¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Bushido Wildcats and Dark Passage in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 1:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against Dark Passage.
This market will resolve to "Dark Passage" if Dark Passage win the match against Bushido Wildcats.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 11, 2026
- 08:36 AMSEses06war$24.75
Sold 45 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.55
- 08:21 AMMIMichael.Williams$8.25
Bought 15 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.55
- 08:06 AM——$4.16
Bought 9.043477 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.46
- 08:06 AM——$5.83
Bought 12.404254 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:06 AM——$47.12
Bought 100.25 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:06 AMCKckteam04$15.00
Bought 31.914892 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.47
- 08:06 AMCHCheyennennnnfd$39.69
Bought 88.2 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.45
- 08:05 AMCOcooljit$0.44
Bought 0.8 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.55
- 08:00 AM0X0xFBE8B1FCcF402e4C7A739f5989aAee17eC6fBb28-1778926848436$103.00
Bought 367.857141 Dark Passage for LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner at 0.28
- 07:56 AMMAmamofaker2$4.40
Bought 8 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.55
- 07:56 AMRDrdgg7$3.89
Bought 7.072726 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.55
- 07:56 AM0X0xFBE8B1FCcF402e4C7A739f5989aAee17eC6fBb28-1778926848436$107.50
Bought 228.723403 Dark Passage for Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) at 0.47
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 7,250% and Game 2 Winner at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $64.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
