Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

$67.8K Vol
Aug 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
TEAM VISION 68.5%
Team Spirit 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,450%, while Ends in Daytime sits in third with 5,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $67.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • Ends in Daytime (5,300%): Sitting in third place with a 5,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Ends in Daytime, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Ends in Daytime (5,250%), Ends in Daytime (5,200%), and First Blood in Game 2? (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?5550.0%$215550¢-5450¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?5450.0%$215450¢-5350¢
3Ends in Daytime5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
4Ends in Daytime5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
5Ends in Daytime5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%$624900¢-4800¢
7First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%$624900¢-4800¢
8O/U 2.5 Games4750.0%$2.5K4750¢-4650¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?4150.0%$24150¢-4050¢
11Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)3850.0%$3.2K3850¢-3750¢
12Both Teams Beat Roshan3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
13Game 1 Winner3650.0%$1.6K3650¢-3550¢
14Game 2 Winner3650.0%$1.0K3650¢-3550¢
15Both Teams Beat Roshan3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
16Both Teams Beat Roshan3600.0%3600¢-3500¢
17Both Teams Destroy Barracks3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
18Any Player Ultra Kill3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
19Any Player Ultra Kill3200.0%3200¢-3100¢
20Match Winner3150.0%$59.3K3150¢-3050¢
21Any Player Ultra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
22Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
23Both Teams Destroy Barracks2650.0%2650¢-2550¢
24Any Player Rampage1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
25Any Player Rampage1950.0%1950¢-1850¢
26Any Player Rampage1850.0%1850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against TEAM VISION.

This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win the match against Team Spirit.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 20, 2026

  • 09:22 PM
    LMlmaolucky666
    $19.28

    Bought 58.424241 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:21 PM
    BEBE4GOD
    $238.00

    Bought 350 TEAM VISION for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.68

  • 09:20 PM
    SASantaClozzz
    $20.00

    Bought 60.606059 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:20 PM
    QUquavoo
    $3.30

    Bought 10 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:19 PM
    SASantaClozzz
    $15.00

    Bought 45.454544 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:16 PM
    JWjwocky
    $3.00

    Bought 8.1 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:15 PM
    VAvalociraptor
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303029 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.33

  • 09:08 PM
    ALalpaca
    $500.00

    Bought 1041.666665 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 09:06 PM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 TEAM VISION for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs at 0.68

  • 09:05 PM
    NAnaesnny17
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:05 PM
    NAnaesnny17
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513512 Team Spirit for Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner at 0.37

  • 09:04 PM
    0X0x1241a64335745de6Cf5826896497d917ECACF38f-1760186190115
    $24.00

    Bought 38.709676 Team Spirit for Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) at 0.62

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NF1
nftdoom
Event PnL
-$10.54
Volume
$18,616.41
Positions
TEAM VISION
LA2
Lakersfan111
Event PnL
+$17.48
Volume
$10,174.27
Positions
Team SpiritUnderTEAM VISION+2
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$30.60
Volume
$6,517.48
Positions
TEAM VISION
QU4
quavoo
Event PnL
-$80.14
Volume
$4,948.00
Positions
Team SpiritOverTeam Spirit+1
BB5
0xbB00…9615
Event PnL
-$21.75
Volume
$4,350.00
Positions
Team Spirit
476
473game
Event PnL
+$48.03
Volume
$3,201.89
Positions
TEAM VISION
SI7
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$11.17
Volume
$2,999.99
Positions
Team Spirit
078
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$44.20
Volume
$2,993.79
Positions
Team Spirit

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? at 5,450% and Ends in Daytime at 5,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $67.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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