Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

$91.1K Vol
Aug 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Galorys 100.0%
Fluxo W7M 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5) follows in second place at 1,000%, while Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 sits in third with 995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5) (1,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5) maintains a 1,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,000¢.
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (995%): Sitting in third place with a 995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 (995%), Map 2 Winner (5%), and Match Winner (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 2.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5)1000.0%$51000¢-900¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5995.0%995¢-895¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5995.0%$5995¢-895¢
5Map 2 Winner5.0%$10.8K95¢
6Match Winner5.0%$55.8K95¢
7O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$23795¢
8Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)5.0%$55095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Fluxo W7M and Galorys in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against Galorys.

This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win the match against Fluxo W7M.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 28, 2026

  • 09:43 PM
    SOSoliter
    $10.00

    Bought 16.666665 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs at 0.6

  • 09:42 PM
    GOGooldzX
    $769.39

    Bought 1637 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 09:42 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $62.64

    Bought 111.85714 Galorys for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 09:42 PM
    KIkickerdog
    $3.85

    Bought 6.11111 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs at 0.63

  • 09:41 PM
    BIBigPunch
    $1.99

    Bought 4.522726 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 09:41 PM
    SAsandman247
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Galorys for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 09:41 PM
    SEserg12345
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545453 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 09:41 PM
    PApanpapiros
    $75.00

    Bought 170.454544 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 09:41 PM
    FRfreedom82
    $97.00

    Bought 220.454544 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.44

  • 09:41 PM
    BIbillymadson
    $5.06

    Bought 11 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.46

  • 09:41 PM
    JUJuzesu
    $1.85

    Bought 3.189654 Galorys for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.58

  • 09:41 PM
    NInightwoolfs
    $3.36

    Bought 7 Fluxo W7M for Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
coolz122
Event PnL
+$4.58
Volume
$8,224.99
Positions
Galorys
GO2
GooldzX
Event PnL
-$17.57
Volume
$7,858.77
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7M
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
-$4,889.96
Volume
$7,646.57
Positions
Fluxo W7M
HU4
humbleboy
Event PnL
+$34.16
Volume
$7,176.56
Positions
Fluxo W7M
LM5
lma0o0o0o
Event PnL
+$3,223.04
Volume
$5,120.00
Positions
Galorys
SD6
sdfhel
Event PnL
+$2.13
Volume
$4,259.26
Positions
Galorys
BR7
BROKY-lv
Event PnL
+$1,998.00
Volume
$3,999.99
Positions
Galorys
BA8
backbox
Event PnL
-$1,543.74
Volume
$2,619.93
Positions
Fluxo W7MFluxo W7M

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5) at 1,000% and Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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