Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D

$43.9K Vol
Aug 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
9z 64.5%
paiN 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,450% chance of winning. Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 follows in second place at 4,700%, while Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) sits in third with 4,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $43.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (6,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $43.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (4,700%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 maintains a 4,700% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,700¢.
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) (4,650%): Sitting in third place with a 4,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner6450.0%$43.9K6450¢-6350¢
2Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)4650.0%4650¢-4550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 3:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against paiN.

This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against 9z.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 11, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    JOJoinOurDiscord
    $3.20

    Sold 5 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.64

  • 07:34 AM
    $25.82

    Bought 39.723074 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

  • 07:34 AM
    0X0x83D9a38fbF2265d1A0
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

  • 07:08 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.65

    Bought 7.153845 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

  • 07:00 AM
    LULuxySupreme
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

  • 05:59 AM
    $47.12

    Bought 130.88 paiN for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.36

  • 05:59 AM
    PRPrivatinsolvenz
    $3.50

    Sold 10 paiN for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.35

  • 05:59 AM
    0X0xE3b0986Bf56ef0c09D070c35586d54bDf483b4d1-1780842888194
    $100.00

    Bought 277.777776 paiN for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.36

  • 05:42 AM
    0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976
    $5.00

    Bought 7.69 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

  • 05:42 AM
    DOdovetail
    $144.00

    Bought 400 paiN for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.36

  • 03:48 AM
    2828usa
    $10.00

    Bought 27.777776 paiN for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.36

  • 03:34 AM
    0X0x60e9D3bc7abc5c7889Df6555fDC82087aFe78662-1768256361530
    $5.00

    Bought 7.692305 9z for Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WA1
WARNINGWARNINGWARNING
Event PnL
+$141.81
Volume
$28,437.52
Positions
paiN
SU2
suzmie
Event PnL
-$101.50
Volume
$20,299.98
Positions
9z
ST3
StasPanda
Event PnL
-$92.86
Volume
$14,139.16
Positions
9z
IT4
itsallupnow
Event PnL
+$50.85
Volume
$3,366.97
Positions
paiN
ST5
Stickman22
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$2,999.98
Positions
paiN
OW6
owensleah
Event PnL
+$14.29
Volume
$2,857.56
Positions
9z
LL7
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$32.86
Volume
$2,190.46
Positions
paiN
GH8
GhostOfJupiter
Event PnL
-$9.98
Volume
$1,996.42
Positions
paiN

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Counter-Strike: 9z vs paiN (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,450% win probability, followed by Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 4,700% and Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) at 4,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $43.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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