"Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office

根據「"Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，18-20m 以壓倒性的 7,635% 獲勝機率主導市場；16-18m 以 1,215% 位居第二，20-22m 以 1,210% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $80.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• 18-20m (7,635%)：18-20m 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,635¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $12.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• 16-18m (1,215%)：作為最可行的替代選項，16-18m 保持著 1,215% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 1,215¢。
• 20-22m (1,210%)：以 1,210% 的機率位列第三，市場對 20-22m 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 >22m (85%)，以及 <16m (20%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 >22m 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

This market will resolve according to how much "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 3 - July 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.