Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics

$138.6K Vol
2026年7月12日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Washington Mystics 67.5%
Seattle Storm 32.5%

核心摘要

根據「Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 159.5 以壓倒性的 6,950% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 161.5 以 6,550% 位居第二，O/U 160.5 以 6,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $138.6K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 159.5 (6,950%)：O/U 159.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,950¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $6.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 161.5 (6,550%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 161.5 保持著 6,550% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,550¢。
  • O/U 160.5 (6,500%)：以 6,500% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 160.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 162.5 (6,050%)、Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics (5,250%)，以及 Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 159.56950.0%$6.8K6950¢-6850¢
2O/U 161.56550.0%$14.4K6550¢-6450¢
3O/U 160.56500.0%$1.1K6500¢-6400¢
4O/U 162.56050.0%$5.7K6050¢-5950¢
5Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics5250.0%$85.1K5250¢-5150¢
6Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.55050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
7Sonia Citron: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Shakira Austin: Points O/U 13.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Dominique Malonga: Assists O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Shakira Austin: Points O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
17Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$1064900¢-4800¢
18Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.54900.0%$374900¢-4800¢
19Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.54900.0%$94900¢-4800¢
20Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
21Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
22Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
23Spread -3.53750.0%$7.9K3750¢-3650¢
24Spread -4.53350.0%$10.2K3350¢-3250¢
25Spread -5.53100.0%$8.0K3100¢-3000¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 3:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 12, 2026

  • 07:58 AM
    COCoocooCal
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.5

  • 07:51 AM
    0X0xD9ae604B0cC3800A9E0f5A2f4B9755281bC95310-1780434400156
    $14.98

    Bought 30.58 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.49

  • 07:39 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.00

    Bought 1.85185 Yes for Shakira Austin: Rebounds O/U 8.5 at 0.54

  • 07:38 AM
    0X0x688df8e9F359Dc770f43aAa8f612F832F2B51117-1746567015912
    $1.70

    Bought 3.148147 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.54

  • 06:46 AM
    SPSperas
    $1.00

    Bought 1.886791 Washington Mystics for Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 at 0.48

  • 06:41 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $3.00

    Bought 6.666665 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    BABagwall
    $1.09

    Bought 2.43 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 160.5 at 0.45

  • 06:41 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:37 AM
    ITItsMrRex
    $1.00

    Bought 2.631577 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.38

  • 05:25 AM
    0X0x8a11f53900558381Bf4cF1E3b8D5A8269E6B9282-1775508104506
    $9.69

    Bought 15.38 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

  • 05:13 AM
    TNtntdynamite
    $3.60

    Bought 5.714283 Washington Mystics for Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics at 0.63

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

IC1
ic4cream
Event PnL
+$94.95
Volume
$3,672.00
Positions
Washington Mystics
BI2
BillBenter2026
Event PnL
-$147.77
Volume
$3,630.96
Positions
Seattle Storm
HO3
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$98.30
Volume
$3,137.43
Positions
Washington Mystics
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$81.16
Volume
$2,273.98
Positions
Washington Mystics
GA5
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Seattle Storm
AM6
amen888
Event PnL
-$21.74
Volume
$998.98
Positions
Seattle Storm
DE7
dex57
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$800.84
Positions
Seattle Storm
AL8
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$16.67
Volume
$663.98
Positions
Seattle Storm

常見問題

目前市場對「Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mystics」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 159.5 以 6,950% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 161.5（6,550%），以及 O/U 160.5（6,500%）。該市場總成交量已達 $138.6K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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