Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

$218.5K Vol
2026年7月3日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Phoenix Mercury 100.0%
Seattle Storm 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 以壓倒性的 5,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 以 5,050% 位居第二,Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $218.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 (5,050%):Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $20 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 (5,050%):作為最可行的替代選項,Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 保持著 5,050% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,050¢。
  • Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55050.0%$205050¢-4950¢
2Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.55050.0%$205050¢-4950¢
3Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:22 PM
    VOVokuey3
    $1.19

    Bought 2.125 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56

  • 08:22 PM
    VOVokuey3
    $2.96

    Bought 6.297871 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.47

  • 08:22 PM
    EFEfstarDeluxe
    $272.34

    Sold 618.95 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.44

  • 08:17 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4

  • 08:12 PM
    0X0xa5272745BDAFa0dA2064e67dbAA9651ca6d44DF8-1774436816469
    $1.12

    Bought 2 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x6796DaF54Ad13BA26FaeEFc5E0B0889AAF76453f-1770553515927
    $4.00

    Bought 10 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4

  • 08:09 PM
    $3.49

    Bought 6.584904 Phoenix Mercury for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5) at 0.53

  • 08:09 PM
    EFEfstarDeluxe
    $290.91

    Bought 618.957445 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.47

  • 08:02 PM
    SAsappireflames000
    $4.00

    Bought 6.557376 Seattle Storm for Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5) at 0.61

  • 08:01 PM
    $100.50

    Bought 179.464284 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5 at 0.56

  • 08:00 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $5.00

    Bought 10 Under for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5 at 0.5

  • 07:45 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.67

    Bought 24.17 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury at 0.4

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

KI1
Kingdmandan
Event PnL
-$59.54
Volume
$11,907.54
Positions
Phoenix Mercury
CA2
canoflanagan
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$6,392.93
Positions
Seattle Storm
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$11.20
Volume
$4,020.60
Positions
Seattle StormPhoenix Mercury
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$93.75
Volume
$3,959.89
Positions
OverUnderPhoenix Mercury+2
PU5
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$61.79
Volume
$2,410.70
Positions
Under
WA6
wapol
Event PnL
+$71.78
Volume
$2,054.56
Positions
OverOverPhoenix Mercury
5H7
5ha0y6oa7
Event PnL
-$7.01
Volume
$1,850.00
Positions
Seattle Storm
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$15.55
Volume
$1,570.69
Positions
Seattle StormUnder

常見問題

目前市場對「Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 以 5,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5(5,050%),以及 Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $218.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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