
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks
核心摘要
根據「Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5 以壓倒性的 7,400% 獲勝機率主導市場;Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks 以 7,350% 位居第二,Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 以 6,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $242.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5 (7,400%):Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,400¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks (7,350%):作為最可行的替代選項,Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks 保持著 7,350% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,350¢。
- Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 (6,400%):以 6,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.5 (5,050%)、Awa Fam: Points O/U 12.5 (5,050%),以及 Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.5 (5,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5 | 7400.0% | — | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 2 | Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks | 7350.0% | $118.4K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 3 | Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5 | 6400.0% | — | 6400¢ | -6300¢ |
| 4 | Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Awa Fam: Points O/U 12.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Awa Fam: Points O/U 11.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 9 | Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Natisha Hiedeman: Points O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 15 | Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 16 | Rae Burrell: Points O/U 16.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 17 | O/U 172.5 | 4550.0% | $1.3K | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 18 | O/U 173.5 | 4250.0% | $2.2K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 19 | O/U 175.5 | 3800.0% | $1.2K | 3800¢ | -3700¢ |
| 20 | O/U 174.5 | 3750.0% | $23.7K | 3750¢ | -3650¢ |
| 21 | Spread -3.5 | 1900.0% | $90.6K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 22 | Spread -4.5 | 1700.0% | $9.3K | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 6 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".
If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 6, 2026
- 08:58 PMJOJoinOurDiscord$5.00
Bought 10.638296 Seattle Storm for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.47
- 08:56 PMRIrizaSZN$18.33
Bought 39 Seattle Storm for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.47
- 08:51 PMDAdasha323168$9.28
Bought 17.5 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.53
- 08:47 PMLPlpcapital1$14.55
Bought 27.45 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.53
- 08:38 PMFAFastsint$4.00
Bought 7.547168 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.53
- 08:08 PMDODonnieDarko73253$20.80
Bought 40 Over for Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 173.5 at 0.52
- 08:03 PMTRTrading97$5.00
Bought 10 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5) at 0.5
- 08:03 PM0X0x0ad3a1F1E1134687645BA2b67683C8A510cC63C2-1782406453950$40.00
Bought 78.431371 Seattle Storm for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5) at 0.51
- 08:02 PMGNgnuisnot$18.59
Bought 36.46 Seattle Storm for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-4.5) at 0.51
- 07:54 PMPEPeytonP$10.00
Bought 25.641024 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.39
- 07:38 PMFGfgdfhr666$1,006.85
Bought 1899.71 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.53
- 07:37 PMVKVkey5$4.81
Bought 10.020832 Seattle Storm for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5) at 0.48
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 14.5 以 7,400% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks(7,350%),以及 Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5(6,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $242.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
