Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx
核心摘要
根據「Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，O/U 180.5 以壓倒性的 5,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 181.5 以 5,450% 位居第二，Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $271.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- O/U 180.5 (5,750%)：O/U 180.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $23.7K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- O/U 181.5 (5,450%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 181.5 保持著 5,450% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,450¢。
- Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 (5,050%)：以 5,050% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Courtney Williams: Points O/U 15.5 (5,050%)、Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5 (5,050%)，以及 Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.5 (5,050%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 180.5 | 5750.0% | $23.7K | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 2 | O/U 181.5 | 5450.0% | $12.2K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 3 | Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Courtney Williams: Points O/U 15.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Olivia Miles: Points O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Natasha Howard: Points O/U 15.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Natasha Howard: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Courtney Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Olivia Miles: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Kayla McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Ariel Atkins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Courtney Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Ariel Atkins: Points O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Natasha Howard: Points O/U 16.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Kayla McBride: Points O/U 18.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Kayla McBride: Points O/U 17.5 | 4850.0% | — | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 21 | O/U 182.5 | 4800.0% | $4.4K | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 22 | O/U 183.5 | 4050.0% | $5.5K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 23 | Spread -11.5 | 2650.0% | $21.9K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 24 | Spread -12.5 | 1550.0% | $35.5K | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 25 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx | 1250.0% | $169.4K | 1250¢ | -1150¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 15 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".
If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 14, 2026
- 08:06 PMTHThomasEVBETS$5.00
Bought 10.20408 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.49
- 08:03 PMFOForecastication2$3.92
Bought 8 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5) at 0.49
- 07:17 PMGAGaditima$16.00
Bought 100 Los Angeles Sparks for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.16
- 07:17 PMGAGaditima$16.00
Bought 100 Los Angeles Sparks for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.16
- 07:10 PM0X0x085a46dB0dD1A3c90806f2e61b9268f81DE158A8-1778876424007$18.52
Sold 35.61 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5 at 0.52
- 06:46 PMICic4cream$6.02
Bought 7 Minnesota Lynx for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.86
- 06:46 PMICic4cream$4.30
Bought 5 Minnesota Lynx for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.86
- 06:39 PMPRprogesterone$15.60
Bought 104 Los Angeles Sparks for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.15
- 05:57 PM0X0xE96646fEfED35e6B25dDD4a606763f659904ed27-1768316292591$5.00
Bought 5.882346 Minnesota Lynx for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.85
- 05:18 PM0X0x085a46dB0dD1A3c90806f2e61b9268f81DE158A8-1778876424007$21.01
Bought 35.614914 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5 at 0.59
- 05:13 PMMAMastaJ$1.49
Bought 10.64 Los Angeles Sparks for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx at 0.14
- 05:02 PMFOForecastication2$2.60
Bought 5 Over for Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 180.5 at 0.52
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，O/U 180.5 以 5,750% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 181.5（5,450%），以及 Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5（5,050%）。該市場總成交量已達 $271.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。