Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks

$429.2K Vol
2026年7月11日
Active
機率趨勢
Los Angeles Sparks 77.5%
Chicago Sky 22.5%

核心摘要

根據「Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，O/U 176.5 以壓倒性的 9,700% 獲勝機率主導市場；O/U 178.5 以 9,550% 位居第二，O/U 179.5 以 9,535% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $429.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

  • O/U 176.5 (9,700%)：O/U 176.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,700¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $56.9K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

  • O/U 178.5 (9,550%)：作為最可行的替代選項，O/U 178.5 保持著 9,550% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,550¢。
  • O/U 179.5 (9,535%)：以 9,535% 的機率位列第三，市場對 O/U 179.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

  • 替代選項：包括 O/U 177.5 (9,500%)、O/U 180.5 (9,450%)，以及 Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 (7,450%)。
  • 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes（成本）買入 No（成本）
1O/U 176.59700.0%$56.9K9700¢-9600¢
2O/U 178.59550.0%$5.8K9550¢-9450¢
3O/U 179.59535.0%$4.7K9535¢-9435¢
4O/U 177.59500.0%$6.6K9500¢-9400¢
5O/U 180.59450.0%$3.7K9450¢-9350¢
6Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.57450.0%$57450¢-7350¢
7Spread -1.56900.0%$15.0K6900¢-6800¢
8Spread -2.56400.0%$12.7K6400¢-6300¢
9Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.56300.0%$56300¢-6200¢
10Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.55050.0%$435050¢-4950¢
11Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 16.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
20Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks2350.0%$326.1K2350¢-2250¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 10:00PM ET:

If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky".

If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 10, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $8.52

    Bought 18.52 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 08:01 PM
    GNgnuisnot
    $2.80

    Bought 5 Under for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5 at 0.56

  • 07:22 PM
    0X0x4f5BdB579d7986795d031e0ae53184453c6FD902-1781525424243
    $2.80

    Bought 5.283017 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:21 PM
    HIhibame69
    $24.08

    Bought 45.433961 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:20 PM
    0X0x8b81cCE898c3c9d737fcA82dbA70f7ebf418988C-1781024142222
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173912 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-2.5) at 0.46

  • 07:16 PM
    0X0x2e14E02C02CEb5B6e0600b4d4dA2E881d60f2cC7-1782676444346
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:13 PM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 10.20408 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:13 PM
    ——
    $347.43

    Bought 709.040815 Los Angeles Sparks for Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5) at 0.49

  • 07:02 PM
    0X0x3564066a9173d591B36aE4924597EA628915c4CE-1781397572133
    $14.00

    Bought 26.415093 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    LUluke2255
    $2.24

    Bought 4.226414 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    MAmatanlevi
    $1.68

    Bought 3.16981 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

  • 07:02 PM
    SCscale.biz
    $8.40

    Bought 15.849055 Los Angeles Sparks for Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

MO1
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$124.32
Volume
$35,307.66
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
LP2
lpcapital1
Event PnL
-$181.58
Volume
$9,304.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$56.75
Volume
$8,859.67
Positions
Chicago SkyLos Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
QU4
QuentinChen
Event PnL
-$40.00
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
Chicago Sky
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$208.73
Volume
$6,615.98
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks
SH6
shxbyron1
Event PnL
-$31.41
Volume
$6,282.48
Positions
Chicago Sky
WA7
wapol
Event PnL
+$99.03
Volume
$6,187.59
Positions
Los Angeles SparksOverUnder
SE8
sentrio
Event PnL
+$126.20
Volume
$4,423.35
Positions
Los Angeles Sparks

常見問題

目前市場對「Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks」的共識是什麼？

截至最新更新，O/U 176.5 以 9,700% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 O/U 178.5（9,550%），以及 O/U 179.5（9,535%）。該市場總成交量已達 $429.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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