Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by ___?

根據「Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by ___?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，December 31, 2026 以壓倒性的 6,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；September 30, 2026 以 6,500% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• December 31, 2026 (6,750%)：December 31, 2026 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• September 30, 2026 (6,500%)：作為最可行的替代選項，September 30, 2026 保持著 6,500% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,500¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Strategy Inc., formerly known as MicroStrategy, announces that they have sold any Bitcoin by the date in the title, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy (https://x.com/Strategy) or Michael Saylor (https://x.com/saylor).

For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases