Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?

1年1月1日
Resolved
機率趨勢
Justin Gaethje 50.0%
Ilia Topuria 50.0%
Conor McGregor 49.5%

核心摘要

根據「Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Justin Gaethje 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Ilia Topuria 以 5,000% 位居第二,Conor McGregor 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Justin Gaethje (5,000%):Justin Gaethje 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Ilia Topuria (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Ilia Topuria 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Conor McGregor (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Conor McGregor 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Justin Gaethje5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Ilia Topuria5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Conor McGregor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

裁決規則

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

常見問題

目前市場對「Who Will Max Holloway Fight Next?」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Justin Gaethje 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Ilia Topuria(5,000%),以及 Conor McGregor(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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