Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?

根據「Who will Mallory McMorrow endorse in the Michigan Senate Primary?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Abdul El-Sayed 以壓倒性的 7,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；Haley Stevens 以 4,450% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Abdul El-Sayed (7,350%)：Abdul El-Sayed 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Haley Stevens (4,450%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Haley Stevens 保持著 4,450% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,450¢。

The Democratic Primary to contest the 2026 Michigan Senate Election is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate Mallory McMorrow endorses in that election.

An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race.

If Mallory McMorrow does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mallory McMorrow or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Mallory McMorrow's endorsement.