What will be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?

根據「What will be said during the MSI 2026 Grand Finals?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，Gold 30+ times 以壓倒性的 7,950% 獲勝機率主導市場；Level 15+ times 以 7,900% 位居第二，Dive 10+ times 以 7,600% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $94，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• Gold 30+ times (7,950%)：Gold 30+ times 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,950¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Level 15+ times (7,900%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Level 15+ times 保持著 7,900% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 7,900¢。
• Dive 10+ times (7,600%)：以 7,600% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Dive 10+ times 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）

在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：

• 替代選項：包括 Punish / Punishing 5+ times (7,600%)、Four Items / Fourth Item (7,600%)，以及 Dominating / Domination (7,600%)。
• 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Legendary 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

The MSI 2026 Grand Finals is scheduled for July 12, 2026, 2 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the official English broadcast of the MSI 2026 Grand Finals. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the events of the MSI 2026 Grand Finals, beginning from the moment the match timer of the first match appears on screen, and ending once the official English livestream concludes. Anything aired before the first game will not be considered.

Mentions of the term originating from in-game audio—even in-game characters, the in-game announcer, or player voice comms—will also count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the FULL official English livestream of the MSI 2026 Grand Finals at https://youtube.com/@lolesports.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf