Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha

$89.8K Vol
2026年7月17日
Active
機率趨勢
EDward Gaming 100.0%
Trace Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 9,955% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $89.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) (9,995%):Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $11.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (9,955%):以 9,955% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (9,950%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (7,300%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5) (5,050%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)9995.0%$11.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.59955.0%$659955¢-9855¢
3Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.59955.0%$79955¢-9855¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.59950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.57300.0%$5207300¢-7200¢
6Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55050.0%$5705050¢-4950¢
8Map 3 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5)5050.0%$235050¢-4950¢
9Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)995.0%$5995¢-895¢
11Map 2 Winner5.0%$28.5K95¢
12Match Winner5.0%$36.9K95¢
13O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$6.1K95¢
14Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)5.0%$1.4K95¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5)5.0%$59895¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant match between Trace Esports and EDward Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Trace Esports" if Trace Esports win the match against EDward Gaming.

This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Trace Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 17, 2026

  • 08:20 AM
    LEleva01
    $11.00

    Bought 13.414633 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

  • 08:12 AM
    QQQQQQQ7
    $300.00

    Bought 365.853655 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

  • 08:10 AM
    TETendaCia
    $1.00

    Bought 1.219511 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

  • 08:04 AM
    0X0xF95e269D7E6c37dA86DcbC2fC515E9BBd7741816-1766598412494
    $176.79

    Bought 310.157893 EDward Gaming for Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 08:03 AM
    REreghergh
    $2.15

    Bought 5.810809 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 08:03 AM
    SUsuntori
    $13.33

    Bought 20.507691 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.65

  • 07:56 AM
    I-i-need-money
    $65.56

    Bought 79.951216 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

  • 07:53 AM
    YAyanshi11
    $1.00

    Bought 1.754383 EDward Gaming for Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) at 0.57

  • 07:43 AM
    JOJohaSA
    $5.00

    Bought 6.097555 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

  • 07:20 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.38

    Bought 6.432431 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.37

  • 07:10 AM
    0X0xd5656254b284BB32dAC4A27dDF2Da64d94aAD785-1781549467636
    $3.23

    Sold 5.76 EDward Gaming for Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 06:58 AM
    WFwfweasgfsd
    $5.00

    Bought 6.097555 EDward Gaming for Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha at 0.82

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

OH1
ohehe
Event PnL
+$824.81
Volume
$5,453.50
Positions
EDward GamingEDward GamingEDward Gaming
SI2
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$9.46
Volume
$4,000.27
Positions
Trace Esports
CH3
chillhouse123
Event PnL
+$33.90
Volume
$3,812.59
Positions
Trace Esports
254
0x257e…ca61
Event PnL
+$0.81
Volume
$3,014.08
Positions
Trace Esports
YI5
yishiwucheng
Event PnL
-$144.87
Volume
$2,725.54
Positions
EDward GamingOverTrace Esports
DO6
Donkoo
Event PnL
+$1,009.28
Volume
$2,310.46
Positions
UnderEDward GamingEDward Gaming+1
GB7
gbbgxfb
Event PnL
-$1,168.14
Volume
$2,242.63
Positions
Trace EsportsEDward Gaming
AB8
Absing
Event PnL
+$796.41
Volume
$2,178.34
Positions
EDward GamingUnderEDward Gaming+1

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5(9,955%),以及 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(9,955%)。該市場總成交量已達 $89.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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