Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

$164K Vol
2026年7月3日
Active
機率趨勢
Nightblood Gaming 100.0%
YFT Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) 以 9,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $164K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (9,995%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $126.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 2.5 Games 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) (9,950%):以 9,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 (1,000%)、Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (50%),以及 Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5) (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map Handicap: YFT (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner9995.0%$126.3K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)9950.0%$3479950¢-9850¢
4Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
5Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550.0%$31550¢50¢
6Map Handicap: NBG (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5)5.0%$1595¢
7Map Handicap: YFT (-1.5) vs Nightblood Gaming (+1.5)5.0%$3095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Nightblood Gaming and YFT Esports in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nightblood Gaming" if Nightblood Gaming win the match against YFT Esports.

This market will resolve to "YFT Esports" if YFT Esports win the match against Nightblood Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 2, 2026

  • 08:33 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $14.00

    Bought 25 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 08:21 PM
    ONOnly4fifa
    $1,763.45

    Bought 3149.01 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 08:14 PM
    XIxiguawang
    $33.60

    Bought 60 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 07:46 PM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 13.333332 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.45

  • 07:45 PM
    CUcute2212
    $145.00

    Bought 258.92857 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 07:23 PM
    0X0xF3328Fc3cAcbf33079146Aaad072590c4D49bFA6-1773549595863
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785713 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 07:05 PM
    FOFortunaFelix
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222221 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.45

  • 06:59 PM
    0X0xcF609D3256f0f37f0595E5Dc64012Fa3a8fEa6f5-1771809916847
    $3,485.18

    Bought 6223.54 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.56

  • 06:57 PM
    FOFortunateGambler
    $16.44

    Bought 37.36 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.44

  • 06:56 PM
    CHchuubot
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Nightblood Gaming for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.58

  • 06:44 PM
    0X0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
    $5,787.50

    Bought 14468.74 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.4

  • 06:44 PM
    ALalpha5ii-copybestbot
    $4.95

    Bought 11.25 YFT Esports for Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs at 0.44

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

CF1
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$738.16
Volume
$26,223.24
Positions
Nightblood Gaming
FO2
FortunateGambler
Event PnL
+$98.82
Volume
$22,129.96
Positions
YFT Esports
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$651.09
Volume
$14,468.74
Positions
YFT Esports
SU4
suntori
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,448.37
Positions
Nightblood Gaming
LE5
letitride247
Event PnL
-$1,196.14
Volume
$3,000.03
Positions
Nightblood Gaming
ON6
Only4fifa
Event PnL
-$15.75
Volume
$2,425.02
Positions
Nightblood Gaming
IN7
informationshow
Event PnL
+$775.44
Volume
$2,105.10
Positions
YFT EsportsYFT Esports
KA8
KappaDINGLE
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$1,131.66
Positions
YFT Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 2.5 Games(9,995%),以及 Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nightblood Gaming (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5)(9,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $164K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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