Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

$66.5K Vol
2026年7月5日
Active
機率趨勢
MIBR LOS 62.5%
Team Heretics 37.5%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Match Winner 以壓倒性的 6,250% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 以 6,150% 位居第二,Map 2 Winner 以 5,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $66.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Match Winner (6,250%):Match Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,250¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $62.0K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (6,150%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 保持著 6,150% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,150¢。
  • Map 2 Winner (5,950%):以 5,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 2 Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,950%)、Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 (5,900%),以及 Map 1 Winner (5,700%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Match Winner6250.0%$62.0K6250¢-6150¢
2Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
3Map 2 Winner5950.0%$5525950¢-5850¢
4Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
5Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55900.0%5900¢-5800¢
6Map 1 Winner5700.0%$535700¢-5600¢
7Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%$755000¢-4900¢
9Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10O/U 2.5 Games4600.0%$24600¢-4500¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
12Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)4100.0%$2484100¢-4000¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53900.0%3900¢-3800¢
15Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
16Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
17Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)3200.0%$3.6K3200¢-3100¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between MIBR LOS and Team Heretics in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 5 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "MIBR LOS" if MIBR LOS win the match against Team Heretics.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against MIBR LOS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:18 AM
    $2.42

    Bought 6.205127 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 08:17 AM
    $3.84

    Bought 6.193547 MIBR LOS for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.62

  • 08:17 AM
    WEwesquezz
    $53.32

    Sold 124 MIBR LOS for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) at 0.43

  • 08:10 AM
    MAmalahala
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 08:06 AM
    0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404
    $20.13

    Bought 30.497876 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:04 AM
    MAmalahala
    $1.00

    Bought 1.53846 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:02 AM
    0X0x57b258499f7A4cfC5043ceae57A51f7e6f529Da2-1779737456696
    $304.00

    Bought 475 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 07:43 AM
    $4.55

    Bought 11.666665 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 07:36 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.85

    Bought 12.435896 Team Heretics for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D at 0.39

  • 07:25 AM
    OVovertimemarkets.xyz-singles
    $1.85

    Sold 5 MIBR LOS for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 07:23 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Team Heretics for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 07:22 AM
    OVovertimemarkets.xyz-singles
    $110.26

    Sold 298 MIBR LOS for Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) at 0.37

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 6,250% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5(6,150%),以及 Map 2 Winner(5,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $66.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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