Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

$328.7K Vol
2026年7月25日
Active
機率趨勢
100 Thieves 89.0%
KRÜ Esports 11.0%

核心摘要

根據「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Map 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) 以 9,995% 位居第二,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) 以 9,995% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $328.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Map 1 Winner (9,995%):Map 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $52.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) (9,995%):以 9,995% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5) (9,950%)、Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5) (9,950%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5) (9,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5) 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Map 1 Winner9995.0%$52.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)9995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
4Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)9950.0%$159950¢-9850¢
5Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
6Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
7Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+8.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
8Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+9.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
9Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-10.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+10.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
10Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-11.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+11.5)9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
11Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)9050.0%$1.2K9050¢-8950¢
12Match Winner7850.0%$156.5K7850¢-7750¢
13Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)7500.0%$747500¢-7400¢
14Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
15Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)5100.0%$3005100¢-5000¢
16Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
18Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55000.0%$1.7K5000¢-4900¢
19Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55000.0%$275000¢-4900¢
20Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
29Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)4150.0%$1.4K4150¢-4050¢
30Map 2 Winner3950.0%$126.6K3950¢-3850¢
31O/U 2.5 Games3650.0%$8713650¢-3550¢
32Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)2850.0%$20.0K2850¢-2750¢
33Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550.0%$7550¢50¢
34Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550.0%$1050¢50¢
35Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.550.0%$1050¢50¢
36Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550.0%$1050¢50¢
37Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-13.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+13.5)50.0%$1050¢50¢
38Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.55.0%$3195¢
39Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.55.0%$2095¢
40Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.55.0%$23095¢
41Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.55.0%$2095¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against KRÜ Esports.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" if KRÜ Esports win the match against 100 Thieves.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 24, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    SOSonic.auto
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 08:01 PM
    CUcubandave29
    $36.50

    Bought 50 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.73

  • 08:00 PM
    XIxiguawang
    $25.80

    Bought 60 100 Thieves for Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:00 PM
    SOSonic.auto
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 07:59 PM
    DIdilsh
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.73

  • 07:59 PM
    SOSonic.auto
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 07:59 PM
    SOSonic.auto
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 07:59 PM
    EYeyokiz
    $5.00

    Bought 6.849314 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.73

  • 07:59 PM
    LELeecoTradeHappy
    $205.00

    Bought 280.821914 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.73

  • 07:58 PM
    LBlbbzz
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 07:55 PM
    SOSonic.auto
    $1.00

    Bought 3.571427 KRÜ Esports for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.28

  • 07:55 PM
    KIKingConf
    $1.00

    Bought 1.369862 100 Thieves for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega at 0.73

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

111
111111111115
Event PnL
+$379.75
Volume
$61,305.25
Positions
KRÜ EsportsKRÜ Esports
ES2
esportGG
Event PnL
-$500.31
Volume
$33,373.72
Positions
100 Thieves
D43
0xD4fE…3131
Event PnL
+$232.06
Volume
$32,981.22
Positions
100 Thieves
SK4
skyman44
Event PnL
+$92.34
Volume
$20,008.27
Positions
100 Thieves
985
0x9898…5624
Event PnL
+$83.63
Volume
$16,723.48
Positions
100 Thieves
SI6
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$417.23
Volume
$14,344.06
Positions
100 Thieves
PE7
PendulumExchange
Event PnL
-$203.32
Volume
$13,555.48
Positions
KRÜ Esports
PA8
PASSTHEMONEY
Event PnL
-$0.00
Volume
$10,217.66
Positions
KRÜ EsportsKRÜ Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Map 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)(9,995%),以及 Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)(9,995%)。該市場總成交量已達 $328.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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