
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)
核心摘要
根據「UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Fight to Go the Distance? 以 5,000% 位居第二,Fight won by KO/TKO? 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (5,000%):Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Fight to Go the Distance? (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Fight to Go the Distance? 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Fight won by KO/TKO? (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Fight won by KO/TKO? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Coria to win by KO/TKO? (5,000%)、Nicoll to win by KO/TKO? (5,000%),以及 Fight won by submission? (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 0.5 Rounds 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Fight to Go the Distance? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Coria to win by KO/TKO? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Nicoll to win by KO/TKO? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Fight won by submission? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Alden Coria" if Alden Coria is officially declared the winner of the fight against Stewart Nicoll at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026.
It will resolve to "Stewart Nicoll" if Stewart Nicoll is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
常見問題
目前市場對「UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Fight to Go the Distance?(5,000%),以及 Fight won by KO/TKO?(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
