Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants

$600.6K Vol
2026年7月14日
Active
機率趨勢
San Francisco Giants 80.5%
Toronto Blue Jays 19.5%

核心摘要

根據「Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 6,700% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 5,700% 位居第二,Spread -1.5 以 5,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $600.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,700¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,700%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 5,700% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,700¢。
  • Spread -1.5 (5,500%):以 5,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -1.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 5.5 (5,350%)、1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,050%),以及 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.55700.0%$2145700¢-5600¢
3Spread -1.55500.0%$14.3K5500¢-5400¢
4O/U 5.55350.0%$2265350¢-5250¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55050.0%$95050¢-4950¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$585000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -2.54750.0%$584750¢-4650¢
131st 5 Innings O/U 4.54750.0%$694750¢-4650¢
14O/U 6.54350.0%$3.1K4350¢-4250¢
15O/U 7.53050.0%$347.9K3050¢-2950¢
16Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants2350.0%$206.8K2350¢-2250¢
17O/U 8.52350.0%$20.6K2350¢-2250¢
18Spread -1.51550.0%$14.3K1550¢-1450¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 6 at 9:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 6, 2026

  • 08:54 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $6.10

    Bought 12.708332 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:38 PM
    ANAnik67
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607842 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 08:32 PM
    CUcumulus33
    $29.50

    Bought 59 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    0X0xbc0655bAB005Ee280Aa8332F309b4c90F01FbC87-1772346837609
    $1.00

    Bought 2 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    DEdex57
    $50.00

    Bought 100 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:24 PM
    DIDingwin
    $1,568.37

    Bought 3136.73 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:15 PM
    GMgmomoney
    $600.00

    Bought 1200 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:15 PM
    0X0x4b88c809e77716a8C42f6E2e0fBD60db4e83772C-1776422825573
    $4.00

    Bought 8 Toronto Blue Jays for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.5

  • 08:04 PM
    0X0x72F38Af397FAA710CCe6D33664100476DFe0D396-1776864498674
    $78.00

    Bought 123.809521 San Francisco Giants for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) at 0.63

  • 08:03 PM
    CUcumulus33
    $67.32

    Bought 132 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

  • 08:03 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $100.80

    Bought 210 Under for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 08:02 PM
    TOTomslee
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607842 San Francisco Giants for Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants at 0.51

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$48.36
Volume
$15,304.22
Positions
San Francisco Giants
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$41.96
Volume
$8,391.75
Positions
Over
683
0x6823…1283
Event PnL
+$41.93
Volume
$8,384.46
Positions
Over
584
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$28.62
Volume
$5,876.10
Positions
UnderUnder
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$17.20
Volume
$5,111.15
Positions
UnderSan Francisco GiantsOver
AN6
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$1.20
Volume
$3,952.21
Positions
Toronto Blue JaysUnder
ZA7
zagzig123
Event PnL
-$44.58
Volume
$2,972.00
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$15.76
Volume
$2,757.31
Positions
Toronto Blue Jays

常見問題

目前市場對「Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,700% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(5,700%),以及 Spread -1.5(5,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $600.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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