San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals

$560K Vol
2026年7月25日
Active
機率趨勢
Kansas City Royals 100.0%
San Diego Padres 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 11.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 12.5 以 9,995% 位居第二,Extra Innings 以 9,945% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $560K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 11.5 (9,995%):O/U 11.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $10 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 12.5 (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 12.5 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • Extra Innings (9,945%):以 9,945% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Extra Innings 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals (5%)、Spread -1.5 (5%),以及 Spread -1.5 (5%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Spread -2.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 11.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
2O/U 12.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Extra Innings9945.0%$1109945¢-9845¢
4San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals5.0%$479.3K95¢
5Spread -1.55.0%$4.6K95¢
6Spread -1.55.0%$4.6K95¢
7Spread -2.55.0%$1095¢
8O/U 13.55.0%$1595¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 17 at 8:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 17, 2026

  • 08:18 PM
    MSmsjosi5kxl29
    $0.02

    Sold 0.04 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 08:18 PM
    PApablera
    $9.00

    Bought 16.981131 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

  • 08:17 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.083332 Kansas City Royals for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.48

  • 08:10 PM
    MSmsjosi5kxl29
    $0.04

    Sold 0.08 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 08:10 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $16.00

    Bought 30.188678 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

  • 08:04 PM
    MSmsjosi5kxl29
    $0.01

    Sold 0.01 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 08:04 PM
    0X0x4b88c809e77716a8C42f6E2e0fBD60db4e83772C-1776422825573
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660376 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

  • 08:03 PM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $25.18

    Bought 46.629628 Yes for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.54

  • 08:03 PM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $12.10

    Bought 22.407406 Under for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.54

  • 08:03 PM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $48.89

    Bought 116.40476 San Diego Padres for Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.42

  • 08:02 PM
    MSmsjosi5kxl29
    $0.03

    Sold 0.06 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.52

  • 08:02 PM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $11.55

    Bought 21.792451 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.53

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

3D1
0x3DFb…8185
Event PnL
-$12,115.51
Volume
$78,164.57
Positions
San Diego Padres
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$1,408.72
Volume
$55,207.02
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsUnderSan Diego Padres+1
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$17,534.12
Volume
$33,949.72
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsKansas City RoyalsUnder+2
CU4
curie
Event PnL
+$12,847.34
Volume
$26,431.10
Positions
San Diego PadresSan Diego PadresOver+2
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$23,976.07
Volume
$19,874.40
Positions
San Diego PadresSan Diego PadresOver+3
ME6
Meiqianqionga
Event PnL
-$7,690.09
Volume
$18,105.66
Positions
Kansas City Royals
PL7
PleaseWinPlease
Event PnL
-$333.02
Volume
$17,999.91
Positions
OverKansas City Royals
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$6,708.01
Volume
$15,620.75
Positions
San Diego PadresSan Diego PadresKansas City Royals+1

常見問題

目前市場對「San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 11.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 12.5(9,995%),以及 Extra Innings(9,945%)。該市場總成交量已達 $560K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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