San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs

$660.6K Vol
2026年7月8日
Active
機率趨勢
Chicago Cubs 75.5%
San Diego Padres 24.5%

核心摘要

根據「San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 11.5 以 6,900% 位居第二,O/U 12.5 以 6,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $660.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,995%):1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $18 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 11.5 (6,900%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 11.5 保持著 6,900% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,900¢。
  • O/U 12.5 (6,500%):以 6,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 12.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Spread -1.5 (5,450%)、O/U 13.5 (5,300%),以及 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 6.59995.0%$189995¢-9895¢
2O/U 11.56900.0%$502.0K6900¢-6800¢
3O/U 12.56500.0%$396500¢-6400¢
4Spread -1.55450.0%$20.3K5450¢-5350¢
5O/U 13.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -2.55100.0%$655100¢-5000¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$655000¢-4900¢
10Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Spread -1.54950.0%$20.3K4950¢-4850¢
14Spread -4.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
15Spread -2.54200.0%$1804200¢-4100¢
16O/U 14.54200.0%$1.1K4200¢-4100¢
17O/U 15.54100.0%$314100¢-4000¢
18Spread -3.53950.0%$33950¢-3850¢
19San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs2550.0%$139.1K2550¢-2450¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for June 30 at 8:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jun 30, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    FIfindyour3oal
    $7.00

    Bought 10 Chicago Cubs for 1st 5 Innings Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) at 0.7

  • 08:29 PM
    MImirroredtrade-RocWins
    $7.50

    Bought 12.711863 Chicago Cubs for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.59

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $8.38

    Bought 16.12 Under for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 at 0.52

  • 08:28 PM
    0X0x87A80EB7A2eE12E4bAcDE856B54449BD23cceb35-1779233611656
    $2.03

    Bought 4.833332 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.42

  • 08:14 PM
    TEtengentoppa
    $24.11

    Bought 56.07 Chicago Cubs for Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.43

  • 08:07 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $9.60

    Bought 16 San Diego Padres for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.6

  • 08:07 PM
    MImirroredtrade-SGRUK8
    $3.15

    Bought 5.338982 Chicago Cubs for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.59

  • 08:07 PM
    MImirroredtrade-RocWins
    $7.50

    Bought 12.711863 Chicago Cubs for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.59

  • 08:07 PM
    MImirroredtrade-ZGEFRU
    $3.10

    Bought 5.254236 Chicago Cubs for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.59

  • 08:07 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $7.52

    Bought 17.90476 San Diego Padres for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs at 0.42

  • 08:06 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $10.71

    Bought 18.465516 San Diego Padres for Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) at 0.58

  • 08:06 PM
    JUJubosaurus9
    $20.00

    Bought 38.461537 Under for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 at 0.52

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

TA1
Talvez10
Event PnL
+$159.26
Volume
$10,617.23
Positions
Over
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$146.32
Volume
$9,821.92
Positions
Under
PH3
phonesculptor
Event PnL
+$46.25
Volume
$9,250.53
Positions
Chicago Cubs
864
0x86fb…03d4
Event PnL
-$23.81
Volume
$4,761.90
Positions
San Diego Padres
BL5
BlessedSunshine888
Event PnL
-$132.46
Volume
$3,911.47
Positions
Under
CU6
cumulus33
Event PnL
-$20.68
Volume
$3,910.00
Positions
San Diego PadresSan Diego PadresUnder
MO7
monmaker
Event PnL
+$107.89
Volume
$3,082.63
Positions
Over
TR8
TraderXI
Event PnL
-$8.24
Volume
$3,027.61
Positions
UnderSan Diego PadresChicago Cubs

常見問題

目前市場對「San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 11.5(6,900%),以及 O/U 12.5(6,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $660.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

免費開始