
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
核心摘要
根據「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 5.5 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 9,955% 位居第二,Extra Innings 以 50% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $358.5K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 5.5 (9,995%):O/U 5.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $10 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Spread -2.5 (9,955%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 9,955% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,955¢。
- Extra Innings (50%):以 50% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Extra Innings 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 5.5 | 9995.0% | $10 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Spread -2.5 | 9955.0% | $10 | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | Extra Innings | 50.0% | $40 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
裁決規則
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 5 at 3:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.
This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 5, 2026
- 08:29 PMACacct-5$0.60
Sold 5 Philadelphia Phillies for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.12
- 08:29 PMCACavaSoTasty$4.25
Bought 5 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) at 0.85
- 08:29 PMBABayStreetBoys$2.89
Bought 3.71 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.78
- 08:29 PMGRgreyhog$5.00
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1
- 08:29 PM——$5.00
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1
- 08:27 PMTOtorta.tech$3.45
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:27 PMTOtorta.tech$3.45
Bought 5 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:26 PMTOtorta.tech$10.35
Bought 15 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.69
- 08:26 PMWIwinwinwinnerb$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 0.99
- 08:26 PMYEyeagerist$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.99
- 08:26 PMWHwhynotchocolate$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.99
- 08:25 PM1W1winstreak1$2.96
Bought 4 Under for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 at 0.74
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 5.5 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(9,955%),以及 Extra Innings(50%)。該市場總成交量已達 $358.5K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
