New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$271.9K Vol
2026年7月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Tampa Bay Rays 67.5%
New York Yankees 32.5%

核心摘要

根據「New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,O/U 6.5 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,200% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 6,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $271.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • O/U 6.5 (7,550%):O/U 6.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $406 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,200%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 6,200% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,200¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,050%):以 6,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,750%)、1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,250%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1O/U 6.57550.0%$4067550¢-7450¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56200.0%$3286200¢-6100¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 2.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 5.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.55250.0%$4355250¢-5150¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 4.55250.0%$3225250¢-5150¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%$4355000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$875000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$875000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings4900.0%$54900¢-4800¢
12Spread -1.54550.0%$5.1K4550¢-4450¢
13O/U 7.54150.0%$48.8K4150¢-4050¢
14O/U 8.53650.0%$8.6K3650¢-3550¢
15New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays3250.0%$197.0K3250¢-3150¢
16Spread -1.52250.0%$5.1K2250¢-2150¢
17NRFI5.0%$7.2K95¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 7 at 6:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:42 PM
    $7.00

    Bought 18.918917 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:41 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 2.238804 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.67

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185
    $17.29

    Bought 48.02 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 08:14 PM
    RARadium0
    $50.00

    Bought 76.923074 New York Yankees for Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) at 0.65

  • 08:14 PM
    RARadium0
    $50.00

    Bought 108.695651 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.46

  • 08:12 PM
    0X0x0604d985aB3D205C7A2B4D4ccd1dA8655D9a8A8F-1760268374438
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941175 New York Yankees for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.34

  • 08:11 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:11 PM
    THTheRealDeal123
    $82.18

    Bought 124.52 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:09 PM
    0X0x2a0A5fFe13288E3Eab9aa3e19E64b62F19De75Ac-1770131083837
    $40.00

    Bought 60.606058 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) at 0.66

  • 08:07 PM
    WPwPSGw
    $12.00

    Bought 21.81818 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.55

  • 08:04 PM
    ARArbJohn
    $76.14

    Bought 165.521738 New York Yankees for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.46

  • 08:04 PM
    JOJonas0127
    $3.47

    Bought 6.31 Tampa Bay Rays for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.55

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
NiFengFanPan
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CO4
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-$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
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VE5
VeryLucky888
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+$90.04
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$9,999.97
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HO6
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Event PnL
+$137.95
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$5,518.05
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Tampa Bay Rays
HE7
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Event PnL
+$107.57
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$5,225.80
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RN8
RN1
Event PnL
+$167.92
Volume
$4,797.80
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays

常見問題

目前市場對「New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,O/U 6.5 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,200%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5(6,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $271.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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