Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

$147.4K Vol
2026年7月9日
Active
機率趨勢
Houston Astros 57.5%
Minnesota Twins 42.5%

核心摘要

根據「Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 7,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,250% 位居第二,O/U 8.5 以 5,050% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $147.4K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,250%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 6,250% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,250¢。
  • O/U 8.5 (5,050%):以 5,050% 的機率位列第三,市場對 O/U 8.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 NRFI (4,950%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (4,950%),以及 Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros (4,250%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%7550¢-7450¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
3O/U 8.55050.0%$10.8K5050¢-4950¢
4NRFI4950.0%$94950¢-4850¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.54950.0%$44950¢-4850¢
6Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros4250.0%$130.7K4250¢-4150¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.53800.0%3800¢-3700¢
8Spread -1.53750.0%$4.6K3750¢-3650¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%$1.2K3450¢-3350¢
10Spread -1.53250.0%$4.6K3250¢-3150¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -1.52650.0%$1.2K2650¢-2550¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -2.52350.0%$1612350¢-2250¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.51550.0%$1611550¢-1450¢
15Extra Innings750.0%$5750¢-650¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 1 at 8:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 1, 2026

  • 08:59 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.225805 Minnesota Twins for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:52 PM
    HUhuntermax1224
    $33.29

    Bought 65.274508 Under for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:52 PM
    VOVokuey3
    $1.19

    Bought 2.333332 Under for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.51

  • 08:52 PM
    EOeok788
    $100.00

    Bought 200 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:33 PM
    RORomerzn
    $30.00

    Bought 51.724135 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0x55afeAc62cDD6e84268dA86f33A383081fF38407-1772555590902
    $33.00

    Bought 43.42105 Minnesota Twins for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) at 0.76

  • 08:32 PM
    0X0xffB1816D69154C49fbfB46e206B59eed0CC1F54e-1765295967325
    $11.75

    Bought 20.25 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 08:28 PM
    MRMr.FranklinSaint
    $10.23

    Bought 16.5 Minnesota Twins for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.62

  • 08:19 PM
    0X0x7a7A4F4b69D51FEfCcc592FBb8163C829782daF1-1782841049058
    $2.00

    Bought 4.651161 Minnesota Twins for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.43

  • 08:12 PM
    FOfor1000k
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

  • 08:02 PM
    THThesay
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Houston Astros for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros at 0.58

  • 07:48 PM
    IAIamthelaw
    $10.00

    Bought 20 Over for Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.5

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

DV1
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$109.39
Volume
$7,292.50
Positions
Houston Astros
582
0x58b9…2983
Event PnL
-$74.97
Volume
$4,998.30
Positions
Minnesota Twins
SQ3
SquatFT
Event PnL
-$55.00
Volume
$2,200.00
Positions
Minnesota Twins
EL4
elementz2
Event PnL
-$5.56
Volume
$1,111.00
Positions
Houston Astros
TR5
TraderXI
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Minnesota Twins
5B6
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Houston Astros
BA7
Batigan
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$999.97
Positions
Minnesota Twins
HA8
haslii
Event PnL
+$14.80
Volume
$986.84
Positions
Houston Astros

常見問題

目前市場對「Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,250%),以及 O/U 8.5(5,050%)。該市場總成交量已達 $147.4K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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