Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

$594.6K Vol
2026年7月15日
Active
機率趨勢
Washington Nationals 53.5%
Houston Astros 46.5%

核心摘要

根據「Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 7,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;O/U 9.5 以 5,850% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 5,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $594.6K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,050%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • O/U 9.5 (5,850%):作為最可行的替代選項,O/U 9.5 保持著 5,850% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,850¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,400%):以 5,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,400%)、1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (5,400%),以及 O/U 8.5 (5,400%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57050.0%7050¢-6950¢
2O/U 9.55850.0%$222.6K5850¢-5750¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 3.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 4.55400.0%$615400¢-5300¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 5.55400.0%$4285400¢-5300¢
6O/U 8.55400.0%$55400¢-5300¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55250.0%5250¢-5150¢
81st 5 Innings Spread -1.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
91st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$475000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -2.55000.0%$475000¢-4900¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$85000¢-4900¢
12Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13O/U 10.55000.0%$1175000¢-4900¢
14Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals4395.0%$322.7K4395¢-4295¢
15Spread -1.53650.0%$31.6K3650¢-3550¢
16Spread -1.53350.0%$31.6K3350¢-3250¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 7 at 6:45PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 7, 2026

  • 08:45 PM
    DUdumm4y
    $11.10

    Bought 30 Washington Nationals for Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:41 PM
    BEBeatYou6
    $1.50

    Bought 2.34375 Houston Astros for Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:27 PM
    EOeok788
    $100.00

    Bought 204.081631 Over for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

  • 08:26 PM
    TRtrader301
    $200.00

    Bought 408.163264 Over for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

  • 08:25 PM
    WOWool-472
    $2.80

    Bought 7.567566 Washington Nationals for Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 08:17 PM
    PRpredictability
    $4.68

    Bought 9 Washington Nationals for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals at 0.52

  • 08:16 PM
    $44.00

    Bought 84.615383 Under for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 at 0.52

  • 08:11 PM
    OLOlma
    $1.56

    Bought 3 Washington Nationals for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals at 0.52

  • 08:10 PM
    0X0x2a0A5fFe13288E3Eab9aa3e19E64b62F19De75Ac-1770131083837
    $40.00

    Bought 62.5 Washington Nationals for Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 08:09 PM
    WPwPSGw
    $3.00

    Bought 5.769229 Washington Nationals for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals at 0.52

  • 08:06 PM
    898989898JUJUJ898
    $24.00

    Bought 50 Houston Astros for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals at 0.48

  • 08:02 PM
    KIKisak
    $1.47

    Bought 3 Over for Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 at 0.49

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$51.03
Volume
$41,831.35
Positions
Houston Astros
NI2
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$187.88
Volume
$14,608.50
Positions
Washington Nationals
4F3
0x4f2
Event PnL
-$29.93
Volume
$11,973.18
Positions
Washington Nationals
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$5.04
Volume
$10,075.00
Positions
Washington Nationals
LO5
lockrobster
Event PnL
+$51.27
Volume
$5,126.89
Positions
Yes
ZA6
zagzig123
Event PnL
+$38.21
Volume
$4,105.00
Positions
Houston Astros
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$2.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Washington Nationals
C28
0xc249…2835
Event PnL
+$296.00
Volume
$3,600.00
Positions
No

常見問題

目前市場對「Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 O/U 9.5(5,850%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(5,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $594.6K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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