Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

$616.1K Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Chicago White Sox 82.5%
Cleveland Guardians 17.5%

核心摘要

根據「Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 以壓倒性的 8,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Spread -2.5 以 5,000% 位居第二,Spread -3.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $616.1K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (8,550%):Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $506.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Spread -2.5 (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Spread -2.5 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
  • Spread -3.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Spread -3.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 O/U 16.5 (5,000%)、O/U 17.5 (5,000%),以及 Extra Innings (4,950%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 O/U 13.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians8550.0%$506.3K8550¢-8450¢
2Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4O/U 16.55000.0%$265000¢-4900¢
5O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Extra Innings4950.0%$284950¢-4850¢
7O/U 13.54200.0%$5904200¢-4100¢
8O/U 15.51850.0%$9.6K1850¢-1750¢
9Spread -1.51550.0%$28.9K1550¢-1450¢
10O/U 14.51550.0%$12.4K1550¢-1450¢
11Spread -1.5250.0%$28.9K250¢-150¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 5 at 2:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 5, 2026

  • 08:27 PM
    0X0x6dD1fD6086Ed3358d7deDd9626FB1665D1601d2A-1763253996420
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.9

  • 08:27 PM
    0X0xB224d50CA6C1789B248FE045f64f0aC15755DFa6-1771033458469
    $20.00

    Sold 20 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:26 PM
    SISirius108
    $50.78

    Sold 50.78 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:26 PM
    CEceshi2hao
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.9

  • 08:26 PM
    TUturtle404
    $11.22

    Sold 11.22 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    0X0xE91171f655bE1568e4c63f29663c0028649e3d4e-1765651946286
    $0.01

    Bought 0.04 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $5.00

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 at 1

  • 08:24 PM
    $1.09

    Bought 4.954544 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.22

  • 08:24 PM
    USUser7429
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Cleveland Guardians for 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5) at 0.33

  • 08:23 PM
    ENentropy-py
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 at 0.99

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

NI1
NiFengFanPan
Event PnL
-$86.39
Volume
$17,282.22
Positions
Chicago White Sox
4F2
0x4f2
Event PnL
+$51.35
Volume
$10,269.45
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
CO3
comon119
Event PnL
-$250.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
TE4
texaskid
Event PnL
+$16.31
Volume
$3,262.12
Positions
Chicago White Sox
HE5
Herdonia
Event PnL
+$15.95
Volume
$3,240.77
Positions
Chicago White Sox
0A6
0x0A77exmm
Event PnL
+$35.30
Volume
$1,411.91
Positions
Chicago White Sox
A67
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$3.90
Volume
$1,073.31
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
SW8
swisstony
Event PnL
+$25.26
Volume
$1,010.40
Positions
Chicago White Sox

常見問題

目前市場對「Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians 以 8,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Spread -2.5(5,000%),以及 Spread -3.5(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $616.1K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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