
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies - Player Props
核心摘要
根據「Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 9,550% 獲勝機率主導市場;Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以 9,550% 位居第二,Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以 9,550% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $2.2K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (9,550%):Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,550¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (9,550%):作為最可行的替代選項,Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 保持著 9,550% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,550¢。
- Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 (9,550%):以 9,550% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 (5,050%)、Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 (5,050%),以及 Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 (5,050%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Noelvi Marte: Home Runs O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 9550.0% | — | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 2 | Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 9550.0% | — | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 3 | Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 9550.0% | — | 9550¢ | -9450¢ |
| 4 | Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 7 | Noelvi Marte: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5010.0% | — | 5010¢ | -4910¢ |
| 9 | Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | $1.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Jake McCarthy: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Jake McCarthy: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | JJ Bleday: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Mickey Moniak: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Mickey Moniak: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Spencer Steer: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Spencer Steer: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | TJ Rumfield: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | TJ Rumfield: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | 5000.0% | $54 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Noelvi Marte: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Edwin Arroyo: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Cole Carrigg: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Cole Carrigg: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | $10 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 7.5 | 5000.0% | $4 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Troy Johnston: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Troy Johnston: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 3.5 | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 32 | Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | 4950.0% | $355 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 33 | Edwin Arroyo: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 4950.0% | $10 | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 34 | Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
| 35 | JJ Bleday: Home Runs O/U 1.5 | 700.0% | — | 700¢ | -600¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 19 at 3:10 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 19, 2026
- 06:27 PMDRdreamliner$405.26
Bought 1621.04 Over for Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.25
- 06:12 PM0X0xC47514F5c9010bCcA61A15B914E280Eba4bB8EEf-1780607735455$45.00
Bought 80.35714 Under for Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.56
- 05:48 PMDOdoglover4571$11.20
Bought 20 Under for Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.56
- 05:14 PM0X0x47F667f56e03A3AD09d59E57b5f747d5868CB051-1768483364615$90.00
Bought 200 Over for Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.45
- 04:53 PM0X0x86EEC28560Da22CaB276bA9db1CfaF555c05511F-1766856171107$14.46
Bought 62.869564 Over for Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.23
- 04:53 PMANAntiVaxxer$5.12
Bought 6.57 Under for Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.78
- 04:53 PM0X0xCc93005c0C554D6743379E3B543B6766718EcE4E-1780652248161$1.00
Bought 4.347825 Over for Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.23
- 04:53 PMTATalvez10$14.47
Bought 65.75 Over for Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 at 0.22
- 04:18 PMDOdoglover4571$28.00
Bought 50 Over for Hunter Greene: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 at 0.56
- 04:10 PMANAntiVaxxer$2.80
Bought 5 Under for Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.56
- 04:10 PMTOtoomuchmoneyinhere$22.00
Bought 50 Over for Ryan Feltner: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 at 0.44
- 04:05 PMIMimumoccupancy$9.90
Bought 10 Under for Cole Carrigg: Home Runs O/U 1.5 at 0.99
正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包
常見問題
目前市場對「Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies - Player Props」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 以 9,550% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Sal Stewart: Home Runs O/U 0.5(9,550%),以及 Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5(9,550%)。該市場總成交量已達 $2.2K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
