Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds

$200.7K Vol
2026年7月12日
Active
機率趨勢
Cincinnati Reds 54.5%
Baltimore Orioles 45.5%

核心摘要

根據「Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 7,800% 獲勝機率主導市場;1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 以 6,600% 位居第二,1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 以 5,450% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $200.7K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,800%):1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,800¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,600%):作為最可行的替代選項,1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 保持著 6,600% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,600¢。
  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,450%):以 5,450% 的機率位列第三,市場對 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 NRFI (5,150%)、O/U 9.5 (4,750%),以及 Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds (4,550%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57800.0%7800¢-7700¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56600.0%6600¢-6500¢
31st 5 Innings O/U 4.55450.0%$2.4K5450¢-5350¢
4NRFI5150.0%$4705150¢-5050¢
5O/U 9.54750.0%$9.7K4750¢-4650¢
6Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds4550.0%$179.5K4550¢-4450¢
71st 5 Innings O/U 5.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
8Spread -1.53650.0%$1.6K3650¢-3550¢
9Spread -1.53550.0%$1.6K3550¢-3450¢
101st 5 Innings Spread -1.53450.0%$153450¢-3350¢
111st 5 Innings O/U 6.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
121st 5 Innings Spread -2.52600.0%$192600¢-2500¢
131st 5 Innings Spread -1.52550.0%$152550¢-2450¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -2.51550.0%$191550¢-1450¢
15Extra Innings850.0%850¢-750¢

裁決規則

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 4 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 4, 2026

  • 08:24 PM
    EOeok788
    $100.00

    Bought 208.333332 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 at 0.48

  • 08:21 PM
    EMEmersonjqy
    $5.60

    Bought 15.555554 Baltimore Orioles for Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) at 0.36

  • 08:15 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $8.00

    Bought 17.391303 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.46

  • 08:06 PM
    LILimitedLiability
    $14.01

    Bought 30.45652 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.46

  • 08:06 PM
    HLHLos
    $3.00

    Bought 6.521738 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.46

  • 08:04 PM
    PLpleaseplease123
    $627.97

    Bought 1336.11 Over for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 at 0.47

  • 08:01 PM
    -T-TrustMeBro-
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.46

  • 07:59 PM
    0X0x809394D49526f7CA13522A72C1Cb3c3980AB7673-1774068564093
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Cincinnati Reds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.55

  • 07:59 PM
    0X0x809394D49526f7CA13522A72C1Cb3c3980AB7673-1774068564093
    $5.00

    Bought 9.090908 Cincinnati Reds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.55

  • 07:55 PM
    EXExtramile123
    $50.50

    Bought 91.81818 Cincinnati Reds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.55

  • 07:53 PM
    0X0xa12613639c164951C31484f0c85F365038939E20-1767892970126
    $1.00

    Bought 1.81818 Cincinnati Reds for Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds at 0.55

  • 07:51 PM
    $2.03

    Bought 5.342104 Cincinnati Reds for Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) at 0.38

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

SW1
swisstony
Event PnL
+$3.40
Volume
$680.23
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
382
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$3.40
Volume
$349.11
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
BE3
Berniquez
Event PnL
-$1.50
Volume
$299.99
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
FO4
Forecastication2
Event PnL
-$2.66
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
MA5
mantlemoose
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$99.00
Positions
Cincinnati Reds
OL6
Olivier987
Event PnL
+$2.38
Volume
$95.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
DO7
doador
Event PnL
+$2.55
Volume
$80.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
PU8
purplegatto
Event PnL
+$0.79
Volume
$79.00
Positions
Yes

常見問題

目前市場對「Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 以 7,800% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5(6,600%),以及 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5(5,450%)。該市場總成交量已達 $200.7K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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