LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season

$116.8K Vol
2026年7月19日
Active
機率趨勢
Zeu5 Esports 87.5%
SDM Tigres 12.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 7,050% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 6,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $116.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) (7,050%):Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 7,050¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $5.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 6,500% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,500¢。
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%):以 6,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,400%)、Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%),以及 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,100%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Quadra Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5)7050.0%$5.6K7050¢-6950¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6400.0%6400¢-6300¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
16O/U 2.5 Games2750.0%$2.1K2750¢-2650¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
19Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
20Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
21Game 1 Winner1850.0%$10.0K1850¢-1750¢
22Game 2 Winner1850.0%$12.2K1850¢-1750¢
23Match Winner1250.0%$86.9K1250¢-1150¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between SDM Tigres and Zeu5 Esports in the LRN Regular season, initially scheduled for July 18 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win the match against Zeu5 Esports.

This market will resolve to "Zeu5 Esports" if Zeu5 Esports win the match against SDM Tigres.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 18, 2026

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $151.11

    Bought 193.73 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.78

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $148.20

    Bought 192.47 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.77

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $164.81

    Bought 245.98 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.67

  • 08:01 AM
    AMam100
    $296.40

    Bought 352.86 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.84

  • 07:39 AM
    $73.37

    Bought 87.345237 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.84

  • 07:39 AM
    WAWalmartShrimp
    $272.23

    Bought 1701.43 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

  • 07:21 AM
    $4.25

    Bought 5 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.85

  • 07:18 AM
    ALAllTheWhimsy
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

  • 07:16 AM
    $4.00

    Bought 4.7 Zeu5 Esports for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.85

  • 06:51 AM
    LOLolDota
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 06:50 AM
    LOLolDota
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575755 Under for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.66

  • 06:19 AM
    $10.00

    Bought 62.5 SDM Tigres for LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.16

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$998.25
Volume
$40,928.34
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+2
AL2
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$557.57
Volume
$12,721.69
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres+1
ZZ3
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$563.25
Volume
$10,554.89
Positions
Zeu5 Esports
BL4
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$255.33
Volume
$8,718.64
Positions
Zeu5 Esports
WA5
WalmartShrimp
Event PnL
+$12.95
Volume
$8,281.01
Positions
SDM TigresZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
FB6
0xFBE8…8436
Event PnL
-$78.20
Volume
$6,777.33
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres+1
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$206.15
Volume
$5,123.61
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
PO8
PontiusPilate
Event PnL
-$112.81
Volume
$4,738.80
Positions
SDM TigresSDM TigresSDM Tigres

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5) 以 7,050% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(6,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $116.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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