LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season

$64.9K Vol
2026年7月20日
Active
機率趨勢
Kits Esports 99.5%
SDM Tigres 0.5%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game 1 Winner 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,000% 位居第二,Match Winner 以 5,500% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $64.9K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):Game 1 Winner 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $26.5K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
  • Match Winner (5,500%):以 5,500% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Match Winner 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,200%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%),以及 Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$26.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon9000.0%$209000¢-8900¢
3Match Winner5500.0%$28.8K5500¢-5400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5200.0%$205200¢-5100¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$3054450¢-4350¢
17Game 2 Winner3450.0%$10.5K3450¢-3350¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Game Handicap: SDM (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5)50.0%$89950¢50¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL match between Kits Esports and SDM Tigres in the LRN Regular season, initially scheduled for July 19 at 7:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kits Esports" if Kits Esports win the match against SDM Tigres.

This market will resolve to "SDM Tigres" if SDM Tigres win the match against Kits Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易動態

以下是該事件的交易動態。

Jul 19, 2026

  • 08:01 PM
    BIBigPunch
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.68

  • 08:01 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $46.62

    Bought 68.558821 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.68

  • 08:01 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $46.48

    Bought 68.35294 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.68

  • 07:38 PM
    SIsignalso
    $1.98

    Bought 6 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.33

  • 07:38 PM
    SIsignalso
    $3.96

    Bought 12 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.33

  • 07:34 PM
    KAkarpetinho
    $249.10

    Bought 408.36 Kits Esports for Game Handicap: SDM (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5) at 0.61

  • 07:30 PM
    FAFaustMendez
    $105.40

    Bought 155 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.68

  • 07:29 PM
    MRmronebillion
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Kits Esports for Game Handicap: SDM (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5) at 0.61

  • 07:29 PM
    KAkarpetinho
    $96.00

    Bought 160 Kits Esports for Game Handicap: SDM (-1.5) vs Kits Esports (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 07:29 PM
    BLblank7633
    $304.85

    Bought 455 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.67

  • 07:27 PM
    FAFaustMendez
    $103.85

    Bought 155 SDM Tigres for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.67

  • 07:19 PM
    DEdekster442
    $27.26

    Bought 80.19 Kits Esports for LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season at 0.34

正在押注該事件的鯨魚錢包

PR1
Prediqa
Event PnL
+$702.40
Volume
$3,142.34
Positions
SDM TigresKits Esports
WE2
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
Event PnL
+$216.03
Volume
$2,443.92
Positions
SDM Tigres
PO3
poshposh
Event PnL
-$189.00
Volume
$2,214.44
Positions
Kits EsportsSDM TigresKits Esports
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$102.38
Volume
$2,197.04
Positions
Kits EsportsSDM Tigres
IG5
igot50k
Event PnL
+$471.74
Volume
$2,131.78
Positions
Kits EsportsSDM TigresKits Esports
646
0x6455…4697
Event PnL
+$577.13
Volume
$1,604.81
Positions
Kits EsportsKits Esports
237
239393828
Event PnL
-$922.10
Volume
$1,254.15
Positions
SDM Tigres
SI8
signalso
Event PnL
+$10.72
Volume
$1,185.24
Positions
Kits Esports

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres (BO3) - LRN Regular season」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game 1 Winner 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,000%),以及 Match Winner(5,500%)。該市場總成交量已達 $64.9K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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