LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

$612.8K Vol
2026年7月16日
Active
機率趨勢
Dplus KIA 100.0%
FURIA Esports 0.1%

核心摘要

根據「LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 以 9,995% 位居第二,First Blood in Game 2? 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $612.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) (9,995%):Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $23.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (9,995%):作為最可行的替代選項,Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 保持著 9,995% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,995¢。
  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 First Blood in Game 2? 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,000%)、Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (9,000%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)9995.0%$23.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$2949995¢-9895¢
3First Blood in Game 2?9000.0%$29000¢-8900¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$59000¢-8900¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$159000¢-8900¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9000.0%$109000¢-8900¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1000.0%1000¢-900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon1000.0%1000¢-900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1000.0%1000¢-900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills1000.0%1000¢-900¢
26First Blood in Game 1?1000.0%$621000¢-900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1000.0%$101000¢-900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?1000.0%$101000¢-900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?995.0%$10995¢-895¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50.0%$2350¢50¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50.0%$21450¢50¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50.0%$1950¢50¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50.0%$1950¢50¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$257.3K95¢
35Game 2 Winner5.0%$128.7K95¢
36Match Winner5.0%$201.1K95¢
37O/U 2.5 Games5.0%$1.6K95¢
38Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)5.0%$2795¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against Dplus KIA.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against FURIA Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

常見問題

目前市場對「LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?(9,995%),以及 First Blood in Game 2?(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $612.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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