
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
核心摘要
根據「LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,O/U 2.5 Games 以壓倒性的 9,995% 獲勝機率主導市場;Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 以 9,000% 位居第二,Both Teams Slay a Dragon 以 9,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $184.8K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%):O/U 2.5 Games 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,995¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $552 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 保持著 9,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 9,000¢。
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,000%):以 9,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Both Teams Slay a Dragon 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Any Player Quadra Kill (9,000%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,000%),以及 Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (1,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Any Player Penta Kill 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 2.5 Games | 9995.0% | $552 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9000.0% | $50 | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 5 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 9000.0% | — | 9000¢ | -8900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 8 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $85.0K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 9 | Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) | 5.0% | $10.3K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
裁決規則
This market refers to the LoL match between E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for July 21 at 1:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win the match against BIG.
This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 21, 2026
- 08:01 PMKOkonstantwins$10.68
Bought 10.68 No for Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? at 1
- 08:00 PMDUDuskAndDowns$20.00
Sold 20 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:59 PMROroad2100$250.00
Sold 250 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:59 PM0X0x7c2367908663B6ffAa8764A50A9ff1EAcD45418b-1781571489894$23.84
Sold 23.84 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:59 PMPOpolilvika32$230.06
Sold 230.06 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:59 PMPApa88ther$5,326.51
Sold 5326.51 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:57 PMLAlakaroseka$131.60
Sold 131.6 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:57 PMDEdedlctooor$25.54
Sold 25.54 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:56 PMGOgoonmaster24$49.50
Bought 50 No for Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? at 0.99
- 07:52 PM0X0xd849b5d87c44c8553b50e1AD20b35F1d88aE206e-1780418346162$1.40
Sold 1.4 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:52 PMRERensPeters$14.08
Sold 14.08 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
- 07:49 PMJAJaketheripper$7.22
Sold 7.22 BIG for LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A at 1
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常見問題
目前市場對「LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,O/U 2.5 Games 以 9,995% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor(9,000%),以及 Both Teams Slay a Dragon(9,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 $184.8K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
