Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

根據「Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，No 以壓倒性的 6,750% 獲勝機率主導市場；Yes 以 3,250% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 $40，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• No (6,750%)：No 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,750¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• Yes (3,250%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Yes 保持著 3,250% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,250¢。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality.

Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.