ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto

$5 Vol
2026年7月31日
Active
機率趨勢
Natsuki Yoshimoto 79.5%
I Wen Wan 20.5%

核心摘要

根據「ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以壓倒性的 6,100% 獲勝機率主導市場;ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner 以 6,000% 位居第二,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 以 5,400% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $5,反映出市場的高度關注。

競爭梯隊拆解

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:

🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者

  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (6,100%):ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 6,100¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者

  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner (6,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner 保持著 6,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 6,000¢。
  • ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,400%):以 5,400% 的機率位列第三,市場對 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。

🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)

在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:

  • 替代選項:包括 Completed Match (5,000%)、ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%),以及 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 Winner 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。

完整訂單簿與定價面板

下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:

排名預測結果獲勝機率成交量買入 Yes(成本)買入 No(成本)
1ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
2ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
3ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.55400.0%5400¢-5300¢
4Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 8.53400.0%3400¢-3300¢
14ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set Handicap +/-1.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
15ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto2050.0%$52050¢-1950¢

裁決規則

This market refers to the tennis match between I Wen Wan and Natsuki Yoshimoto in the ITF Women Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'I Wen Wan' if I Wen Wan advances against Natsuki Yoshimoto.

This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yoshimoto' if Natsuki Yoshimoto advances against I Wen Wan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常見問題

目前市場對「ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto」的共識是什麼?

截至最新更新,ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 6,100% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 Winner(6,000%),以及 ITF Brisbane: I Wen Wan vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Set 1 O/U 10.5(5,400%)。該市場總成交量已達 $5,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。

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