
United States vs. Belgium
核心摘要
根據「United States vs. Belgium」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,United States 以壓倒性的 3,650% 獲勝機率主導市場;Belgium 以 3,450% 位居第二,Draw (United States vs. Belgium) 以 2,950% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $557.3K,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- United States (3,650%):United States 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 3,650¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $63.9K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Belgium (3,450%):作為最可行的替代選項,Belgium 保持著 3,450% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 3,450¢。
- Draw (United States vs. Belgium) (2,950%):以 2,950% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Draw (United States vs. Belgium) 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 3650.0% | $63.9K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 2 | Belgium | 3450.0% | $388.6K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 3 | Draw (United States vs. Belgium) | 2950.0% | $104.8K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
裁決規則
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, July 6, 2026 between United States and Belgium.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 2, 2026
- 08:55 PMBGBGB5056$4.00
Sold 6.15 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65
- 08:54 PM0X0xb252B3951BE61Cc87e3a07913F6eF0b493edBD99-1769960990055$1.00
Bought 2.857141 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35
- 08:50 PMTItimka02$1.00
Bought 2.857141 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35
- 08:50 PM0X0x01E8dd7FbfCdd0a01D8F0bdC359A476a414c79DC-1772657272806$10.00
Bought 33.333332 Yes for Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? at 0.3
- 08:50 PMTItimka02$1.00
Bought 2.777776 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36
- 08:49 PMTEtennis.player$5.00
Bought 14.285713 Yes for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.35
- 08:47 PM0X0x2330Ef0A5E9f899e5b72E15336b9CB2a13784a09-1775143786303$54.00
Bought 150 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36
- 08:47 PMSEsentinel-x$5.00
Bought 7.69 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65
- 08:43 PMFAFantaman$10.00
Bought 15.151514 No for Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? at 0.66
- 08:42 PMBLBlessedSunshine888$1.11
Bought 1.7 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65
- 08:42 PM——$1,000.00
Bought 2777.777776 Yes for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.36
- 08:42 PM——$19.80
Bought 30.461537 No for Will United States win on 2026-07-06? at 0.65
常見問題
目前市場對「United States vs. Belgium」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,United States 以 3,650% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Belgium(3,450%),以及 Draw (United States vs. Belgium)(2,950%)。該市場總成交量已達 $557.3K,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
