Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets
核心摘要
根據「Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，O/U 0.5 以壓倒性的 9,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；Spain O/U 0.5 以 8,100% 位居第二，2nd Half O/U 0.5 以 7,700% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $130.7K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- O/U 0.5 (9,350%)：O/U 0.5 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 9,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。僅該合約就已產生 $147 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Spain O/U 0.5 (8,100%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Spain O/U 0.5 保持著 8,100% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,100¢。
- 2nd Half O/U 0.5 (7,700%)：以 7,700% 的機率位列第三，市場對 2nd Half O/U 0.5 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 O/U 1.5 (7,650%)、1st Half O/U 0.5 (7,050%)，以及 Portugal O/U 0.5 (6,600%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 9350.0% | $147 | 9350¢ | -9250¢ |
| 2 | Spain O/U 0.5 | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 3 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 7700.0% | — | 7700¢ | -7600¢ |
| 4 | O/U 1.5 | 7650.0% | $106 | 7650¢ | -7550¢ |
| 5 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 7050.0% | $67 | 7050¢ | -6950¢ |
| 6 | Portugal O/U 0.5 | 6600.0% | $4 | 6600¢ | -6500¢ |
| 7 | Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 5950.0% | — | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 5500.0% | $910 | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 9 | Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 10 | O/U 2.5 | 5150.0% | $3.6K | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 11 | Spain O/U 1.5 | 5050.0% | $42 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 12 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 13 | Portugal 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 14 | Portugal 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 3700.0% | $51 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 15 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 16 | Team to Advance | 3350.0% | $113.9K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 17 | O/U 3.5 | 2950.0% | $323 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 18 | Portugal O/U 1.5 | 2900.0% | $3 | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 2850.0% | $52 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 20 | Spain (-1.5) | 2650.0% | $650 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 21 | Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | 2650.0% | $356 | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 22 | Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 23 | Spain O/U 2.5 | 2200.0% | $10 | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams to Score in First Half | 2050.0% | $76 | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 25 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 26 | Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 27 | Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | 1550.0% | $175 | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 28 | O/U 4.5 | 1450.0% | $41 | 1450¢ | -1350¢ |
| 29 | Spain (-2.5) | 1150.0% | $22 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 30 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 1150.0% | $41 | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 31 | Portugal 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 1150.0% | — | 1150¢ | -1050¢ |
| 32 | Portugal O/U 2.5 | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 33 | Portugal (-1.5) | 800.0% | $426 | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 34 | Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 800.0% | — | 800¢ | -700¢ |
| 35 | O/U 5.5 | 600.0% | — | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 36 | Spain (-4.5) | 550.0% | — | 550¢ | -450¢ |
| 37 | Spain (-3.5) | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 38 | Portugal (-2.5) | 260.0% | $141 | 260¢ | -160¢ |
| 39 | O/U 6.5 | 215.0% | $167 | 215¢ | -115¢ |
| 40 | O/U 7.5 | 115.0% | $3.7K | 115¢ | -15¢ |
| 41 | Portugal (-3.5) | 60.0% | $3.0K | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 42 | Spain (-5.5) | 60.0% | $500 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 43 | O/U 8.5 | 55.0% | $620 | 55¢ | 45¢ |
| 44 | Portugal (-4.5) | 35.0% | $600 | 35¢ | 65¢ |
| 45 | Portugal (-5.5) | 35.0% | $983 | 35¢ | 65¢ |
裁決規則
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET.
交易動態
以下是該事件的交易動態。
Jul 3, 2026
- 08:46 PMJOjotajaen$30.00
Bought 45.454544 Spain for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.66
- 08:40 PMBTbtcmo07$4.96
Bought 9.017856 Yes for Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score at 0.55
- 08:35 PM0X0x7a014e1A19FAfA5F02662a8Bbf40d450Faaf0860-1782437588073$7.00
Bought 20 Portugal for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.35
- 08:32 PM0X0x0c0AAa5E00FbA3525D6ce509DFCbaa3F0B43d2b7-1781983876905$12.00
Bought 34.285713 Portugal for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.35
- 08:29 PMNEneotard$2.00
Bought 3.030302 Spain for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.66
- 08:25 PM0X0xf1E76dB34c851c7b347c9D0f3BBe90D272306262-1782796581501$5.00
Bought 14.285713 Portugal for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.35
- 08:18 PM0X0xa9f089Aa81cc79E2ff47c63ed1AEA79f22B12853-1768088463406$1.00
Bought 3.571427 Yes for Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? at 0.28
- 08:18 PM0X0xf53E2f4EFE50be6247b5Ee496A639EC91c660e1E-1782863031220$15.00
Bought 22.72727 Spain for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.66
- 08:16 PM0X0xEAD9f590CdF1E1dDEB31e9Bf4de8034B33f127d2-1772739273681$50.00
Bought 89.285713 Yes for Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score at 0.56
- 08:11 PM0X0x33ac63be3A6D316e83F4b182B89C0Eb7B4ce3682-1767881025151$2.50
Bought 3.787876 Spain for Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance at 0.66
- 08:09 PM0X0x5711f4F5978a57F06683637B2432ca8F177E9329-1771525690406$1.00
Bought 1.2987 Over for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 at 0.77
- 08:07 PM0X0xFd4f7f83f4Ddf65eF6698298045404Af59ACd671-1783087633319$5.00
Bought 5.747123 Under for Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 at 0.87
常見問題
目前市場對「Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，O/U 0.5 以 9,350% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Spain O/U 0.5（8,100%），以及 2nd Half O/U 0.5（7,700%）。該市場總成交量已達 $130.7K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。