Paraguay vs. France - Player Props
$146.2K Vol
2026年7月5日
Active
機率趨勢
Yes 64.5%
No 35.5%
核心摘要
根據「Paraguay vs. France - Player Props」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前，Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 以壓倒性的 8,900% 獲勝機率主導市場；Michael Olise: 1+ shots 以 8,200% 位居第二，Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 以 8,100% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 $146.2K，反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：
🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots (8,900%)：Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 8,900¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者
- Michael Olise: 1+ shots (8,200%)：作為最可行的替代選項，Michael Olise: 1+ shots 保持著 8,200% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 8,200¢。
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots (8,100%)：以 8,100% 的機率位列第三，市場對 Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots 持謹慎懷疑態度，除非勢頭轉變，否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊：長尾選項（合計約 0%）
在前三名之外，還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低，但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖：
- 替代選項：包括 Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots (7,500%)、Désiré Doué: 1+ shots (6,650%)，以及 Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals (6,450%)。
- 投機成交：儘管統計機率偏低，像 Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解：
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes（成本） | 買入 No（成本） |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots | 8900.0% | — | 8900¢ | -8800¢ |
| 2 | Michael Olise: 1+ shots | 8200.0% | — | 8200¢ | -8100¢ |
| 3 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots | 8100.0% | — | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 4 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots | 7500.0% | — | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 5 | Désiré Doué: 1+ shots | 6650.0% | — | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 6 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | 6450.0% | $73.2K | 6450¢ | -6350¢ |
| 7 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots | 6350.0% | $3 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 8 | Michael Olise: 2+ shots | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 9 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots | 5450.0% | $44 | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 10 | Álex Arce: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 11 | Álex Arce: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 12 | Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 13 | Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 14 | Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 15 | Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 16 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 17 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 18 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 19 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 20 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 21 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 22 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 23 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 24 | Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 25 | Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 26 | Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 27 | Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 28 | Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 29 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 30 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 31 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 32 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 33 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 34 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 35 | Brice Samba: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 36 | Brice Samba: 3+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 37 | Brice Samba: 4+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 38 | Brice Samba: 5+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 39 | Gatito Fernández: 2+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 40 | Gatito Fernández: 3+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 41 | Gatito Fernández: 4+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 42 | Gatito Fernández: 5+ saves | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 43 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 44 | Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 45 | Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 46 | Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 47 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 48 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 49 | Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 50 | Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 51 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 52 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 53 | Julio César Enciso: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 54 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 55 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 56 | Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 57 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 58 | Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 59 | Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 60 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 61 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 62 | Miguel Almirón: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 63 | Miguel Almirón: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 64 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 65 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 66 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists | 4750.0% | — | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 67 | Michael Olise: 3+ shots | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 68 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ shots | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 69 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots | 4300.0% | — | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 70 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | 4300.0% | $18.0K | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 71 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists | 4200.0% | — | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 72 | Álex Arce: 1+ shots | 4150.0% | $90 | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 73 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | 4050.0% | $15.0K | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 74 | Désiré Doué: 2+ shots | 3600.0% | — | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 75 | Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 76 | Michael Olise: 1+ goals | 3350.0% | $7.5K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 77 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists | 3200.0% | — | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 78 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists | 2950.0% | $737 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 79 | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists | 2850.0% | $917 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 80 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals | 2750.0% | $12.9K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 81 | Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots | 2500.0% | $16 | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 82 | Michael Olise: 4+ shots | 2450.0% | $13 | 2450¢ | -2350¢ |
| 83 | Désiré Doué: 3+ shots | 2350.0% | — | 2350¢ | -2250¢ |
| 84 | Michael Olise: 5+ shots | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
| 85 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals | 2150.0% | $636 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 86 | Álex Arce: 2+ shots | 2100.0% | $149 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 87 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ shots | 1950.0% | — | 1950¢ | -1850¢ |
| 88 | Álex Arce: 4+ shots | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 89 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ shots | 1900.0% | — | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 90 | Álex Arce: 3+ shots | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 91 | Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots | 1750.0% | — | 1750¢ | -1650¢ |
| 92 | Désiré Doué: 4+ shots | 1650.0% | — | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 93 | Álex Arce: 5+ shots | 1600.0% | — | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 94 | Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots | 1400.0% | — | 1400¢ | -1300¢ |
| 95 | Michael Olise: 2+ assists | 1300.0% | $6.0K | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 96 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals | 1050.0% | $5.1K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 97 | Gabriel Ávalos: 3+ shots | 1050.0% | — | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 98 | Désiré Doué: 5+ shots | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 99 | Miguel Almirón: 3+ shots | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 100 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals | 950.0% | $29 | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 101 | Désiré Doué: 1+ assists | 900.0% | $39 | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 102 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ goals + assists | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 103 | Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals | 850.0% | $3.2K | 850¢ | -750¢ |
| 104 | Michael Olise: 2+ goals | 750.0% | $1.7K | 750¢ | -650¢ |
| 105 | Julio César Enciso: 4+ shots | 650.0% | $1 | 650¢ | -550¢ |
| 106 | Julio César Enciso: 1+ assists | 600.0% | $26 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 107 | Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists | 600.0% | $252 | 600¢ | -500¢ |
| 108 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ assists | 500.0% | $25 | 500¢ | -400¢ |
| 109 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ goals | 490.0% | $14 | 490¢ | -390¢ |
| 110 | Álex Arce: 1+ goals | 450.0% | $13 | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 111 | Gabriel Ávalos: 1+ goals | 450.0% | $34 | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 112 | Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots | 450.0% | — | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 113 | Désiré Doué: 2+ assists | 450.0% | $70 | 450¢ | -350¢ |
| 114 | Désiré Doué: 2+ goals | 370.0% | — | 370¢ | -270¢ |
| 115 | Miguel Almirón: 1+ assists | 350.0% | $62 | 350¢ | -250¢ |
| 116 | Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists | 320.0% | $860 | 320¢ | -220¢ |
| 117 | Miguel Almirón: 4+ shots | 305.0% | — | 305¢ | -205¢ |
| 118 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ assists | 255.0% | — | 255¢ | -155¢ |
| 119 | Julio César Enciso: 5+ shots | 225.0% | — | 225¢ | -125¢ |
| 120 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ assists | 195.0% | — | 195¢ | -95¢ |
| 121 | Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals | 180.0% | $200 | 180¢ | -80¢ |
| 122 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ assists | 155.0% | — | 155¢ | -55¢ |
| 123 | Álex Arce: 2+ goals | 140.0% | — | 140¢ | -40¢ |
| 124 | Julio César Enciso: 2+ goals | 120.0% | — | 120¢ | -20¢ |
| 125 | Désiré Doué: 3+ goals | 115.0% | — | 115¢ | -15¢ |
| 126 | Miguel Almirón: 2+ goals | 100.0% | — | 100¢ | 0¢ |
| 127 | Michael Olise: 3+ goals | 60.0% | $105 | 60¢ | 40¢ |
| 128 | Gabriel Ávalos: 2+ goals | 55.0% | — | 55¢ | 45¢ |
裁決規則
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Paraguay and France, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.
常見問題
目前市場對「Paraguay vs. France - Player Props」的共識是什麼？
截至最新更新，Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 以 8,900% 的獲勝機率領跑，其次是 Michael Olise: 1+ shots（8,200%），以及 Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots（8,100%）。該市場總成交量已達 $146.2K，顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。